Sunday , 16 August 2026

Forest Green Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Fri 7 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC New Lawn Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Forest Green Rovers FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Derby County FC H 0–2 L
01 Apr Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
26 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–2 L
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC H 1–3 L
04 Mar Accrington Stanley FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Forest Green Rovers FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 2' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 0-1.
  • 7' Brandon Cooper catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 7.
  • 12' Forest Green Rovers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 17' Oliver Casey, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordan Garrick suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Forest Green Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Forest Green Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' Conor Hourihane needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 47' Eiran Cashin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Forest Green Rovers FC so far.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Forest Green Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dylan McGeouch is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Forest Green Rovers FC.
  • 62' It looks surprising Forest Green Rovers FC does not make any changes. Brandon Cooper has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jason Knight.
  • 71' Corey O'Keeffe gets the nod from Forest Green Rovers FC. He replaces Myles Peart-Harris and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Tom Barkhuizen. He replaces Louie Sibley on 76 minute.
  • 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 82' David McGoldrick adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' Another substitution for Forest Green Rovers FC to replace Charlie Savage by Tyrese Omotoye on 82 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Haydon Roberts as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
  • 84' Jordan Garrick makes way for Amadou Bakayoko at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Forest Green Rovers FC.
  • 89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Forest Green Rovers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Forest Green Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Forest Green Rovers FC24% Draw28% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Forest Green Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
76%
Forest Green Rovers FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Forest Green Rovers FC17% Draw47% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Forest Green Rovers FC

Handicap Forest Green Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.