Thursday , 2 July 2026

Forest Green Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Fri 7 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC New Lawn Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Forest Green Rovers FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Derby County FC H 0–2 L
01 Apr Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
26 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–2 L
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC H 1–3 L
04 Mar Accrington Stanley FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
07 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Forest Green Rovers FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 2' GOAL! James Collins scores on 2.
  • 7' Forest Green Rovers FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 7.
  • 12' Brandon Cooper needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 17' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Forest Green Rovers FC that had 58 games and scored 46 goals.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Louie Sibley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Forest Green Rovers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyle McAllister, as he is very good at scoring at New Lawn Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joseph Wildsmith made 379 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Forest Green Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jason Knight on 69.
  • 71' Corey O'Keeffe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Myles Peart-Harris on 71 minute.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Tom Barkhuizen. He replaces Louie Sibley on 76 minute.
  • 81' Forest Green Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Forest Green Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' What a strike from David McGoldrick! The score is 0-2.
  • 82' The whistle greets Charlie Savage as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Omotoye.
  • 83' Lewis Dobbin is replacing Haydon Roberts for the Derby County FC side.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Amadou Bakayoko. He replaces Jordan Garrick on 84 minute.
  • 89' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Forest Green Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Forest Green Rovers FC24% Draw28% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Forest Green Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
76%
Forest Green Rovers FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Forest Green Rovers FC17% Draw47% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Forest Green Rovers FC

Handicap Forest Green Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.