Forest Green Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Forest Green Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at New Lawn Stadium.
- Forest Green Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Mar | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Forest Green Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Mar | Peterborough United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Mar | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at New Lawn Stadium as Forest Green Rovers FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 2' Against the run of play, James Collins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 7' Forest Green Rovers FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 12' David McGoldrick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 60 goals in his last 374 appearances.
- 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 22' Forest Green Rovers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 27' It looks surprising Forest Green Rovers FC does not make any changes. Tom Barkhuizen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' Myles Peart-Harris has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Forest Green Rovers FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' James Chester is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Forest Green Rovers FC tonight.
- 47' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 57' Kyle McAllister has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' Jason Knight was booked on 69.
- 71' Fresh legs for Forest Green Rovers FC! Corey O'Keeffe comes on to replace Myles Peart-Harris.
- 76' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Louie Sibley exits the field as Tom Barkhuizen enters on 76.
- 81' Forest Green Rovers FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 82' What a strike from David McGoldrick! The score is 0-2.
- 82' Another substitution for Forest Green Rovers FC to replace Charlie Savage by Tyrese Omotoye on 82 minute.
- 83' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lewis Dobbin comes on to replace Haydon Roberts.
- 84' Another substitution for Forest Green Rovers FC to replace Jordan Garrick by Amadou Bakayoko on 84 minute.
- 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Forest Green Rovers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 4
- 17
- 22
- 31
- 12
- 11
- 5
- 27
- 25
-
48
Charlie Savage ↓ Tyrese Omotoye 82'
Bench
- 15
-
21
Amadou Bakayoko ↑ 84'
- 24
- 3
-
2
Corey O'Keeffe ↑ 71'
-
30
Tyrese Omotoye ↑ 82'
- 20
Coach
Duncan Ferguson
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 11
- 1
- 10
-
5
James Chester ↓ Craig Forsyth 76'
- 4
- 9
- 38
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Tom Barkhuizen 76'
-
15
Haydon Roberts ↓ Lewis Dobbin 83'
- 6
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 76'
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 84'
- 8
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↑ 76'
- 21
- 23
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 83'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David McGoldrick | 4 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
Head to Head
Forest Green Rovers FC Form
2023-04-07
Forest Green Rovers FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-04-01
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
L
2023-03-26
Forest Green Rovers FC
1–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2023-03-18
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
L
2023-03-11
Forest Green Rovers FC
1–3
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-03-04
Accrington Stanley FC
2–1
Forest Green Rovers FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2023-04-07
Forest Green Rovers FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-04-01
Derby County FC
0–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
2023-03-25
Peterborough United FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2023-03-18
Derby County FC
0–2
Fleetwood Town FC
L
2023-03-11
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-03-07
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Forest Green Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Forest Green Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
76%
Forest Green Rovers FC or Derby County FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Forest Green Rovers FC
| Handicap | Forest Green Rovers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Forest Green Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.