Cerezo Osaka FC vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–3 | L |
| 31 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #15 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 29 |
| 38 | Conceded | 32 |
| +10 | GD | -3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cerezo Osaka FC to score. At the same time, Tokyo Verdy does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Tokyo Verdy are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Rafael Ratao doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Tokyo Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koki Fukui made 94 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and Tokyo Verdy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' The whistle greets Vitor Bueno as he departs to be replaced by Motohiko Nakajima.
- 47' A stunning finish from Shuhei Kawasaki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' The referee has no hesitation. Thiago Andrade is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 52.
- 57' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' Tokyo Verdy ring the changes. Yuta Arai has done his job and it is now time for Yudai Kimura to step up.
- 62' Thiago Andrade doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Japan international Hiroto Taniguchi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' Itsuki Someno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Fukuda on 70 minute.
- 75' Tokyo Verdy fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Thiago Andrade by Shion Homma on 77 minute.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 87' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Shinji Kagawa is replaced by Kyohei Yoshino on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 90'
- 6
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 90'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Shunta Tanaka 46'
- 33
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 77'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- –
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 90'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 46'
- 21
- 17
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 77'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 90'
- 22
Coach
Arthur Papas
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Rei Hirakawa ↓ Soma Meshino 77'
-
22
Hijiri Onaga ↓ Issei Kumatoriya 77'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↓ Itsuki Someno 70'
- 6
- 7
- 1
-
37
Shuhei Kawasaki ↓ Kosuke Saito 59'
- 2
- 3
- 23
-
40
Yuta Arai ↓ Yudai Kimura 59'
Bench
-
8
Kosuke Saito ↑ 59'
-
9
Itsuki Someno ↑ 70'
- 15
- 19
- 21
-
10
Yudai Kimura ↑ 59'
-
20
Soma Meshino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
25
Issei Kumatoriya ↑ 77'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Shuhei Kawasaki | 1 |
| Shinji Kagawa | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 1 |
| Yuta Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
42%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Tokyo Verdy
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Tokyo Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.