Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #2 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 48 |
| 32 | Conceded | 38 |
| -3 | GD | +10 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium!
- 1' Controversy at the stadium! Yuya Fukuda argues furiously but the card stands.
- 6' Hijiri Onaga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 7' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Kitano is hanging Vitor Bueno on the field on 7 minute.
- 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 33' Yuta Arai doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rei Hirakawa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Reiya Sakata is hanging Thiago Andrade on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 53' The Tokyo Verdy manager makes a substitution. Kosuke Saito departs to be replaced by Koki Morita.
- 58' It looks surprising Tokyo Verdy does not make any changes. Matheus Vidotto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Niko Takahashi on, Kyohei Noborizato off on 63 minutes.
- 64' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuan Matsuhashi is hanging Yuya Fukuda on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Tokyo Verdy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 72' Kazuya Miyahara is replacing Hijiri Onaga for the Tokyo Verdy side.
- 73' A change in the Tokyo Verdy ranks — Hiroto Yamami exits the field as Itsuki Someno enters on 73.
- 78' Reiya Sakata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 80' The whistle greets Ryuya Nishio as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama.
- 85' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- Full Time. Tokyo Verdy beats Cerezo Osaka FC
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 22
- 14
- 8
- 1
- 10
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 40
Bench
- 6
- 7
- 9
- 15
- 37
- 19
- 21
- 20
- 17
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 6
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↓ Masaya Shibayama 80'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Sota Kitano 7'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 64'
- 14
- 5
- 7
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 7'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 80'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 63'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Yuta Arai | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Shuhei Kawasaki | 1 |
| Shinji Kagawa | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.47
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Tokyo Verdy or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Tokyo Verdy or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

