Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #2 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 48 |
| 32 | Conceded | 38 |
| -3 | GD | +10 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
- 1' The referee calls foul for Yuya Fukuda. He receives a card.
- 6' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 7' Sota Kitano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitor Bueno on 7 minute.
- 12' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 17' Tokyo Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Vidotto, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Tokyo Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 33' GOAL! Yuta Arai scores on 33. Assisted by Hijiri Onaga
- 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masaya Shibayama made 369 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinnosuke Hatanaka suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Reiya Sakata is replacing Thiago Andrade for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 51' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 53' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Kosuke Saito is replaced by Koki Morita.
- 58' Hiroto Yamami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Niko Takahashi. He replaces Kyohei Noborizato on 63 minute.
- 64' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuan Matsuhashi is hanging Yuya Fukuda on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 72' Tokyo Verdy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kazuya Miyahara is hanging Hijiri Onaga on the field on 72 minute.
- 73' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Hiroto Yamami is replaced by Itsuki Someno.
- 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 80' Masaya Shibayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuya Nishio on 80 minute.
- 85' Tokyo Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
- 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- With this win, Tokyo Verdy is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 22
- 14
- 8
- 1
- 10
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 40
Bench
- 6
- 7
- 9
- 15
- 37
- 19
- 21
- 20
- 17
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 6
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
- 10
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↓ Masaya Shibayama 80'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Sota Kitano 7'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 46'
- 1
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 64'
- 14
- 5
- 7
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 46'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 7'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 80'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 63'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Yuta Arai | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Shuhei Kawasaki | 1 |
| Shinji Kagawa | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.47
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Tokyo Verdy or Cerezo Osaka FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
68%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Tokyo Verdy or Cerezo Osaka FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

