Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 17 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,014 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising Sunderland AFC does not make any changes. Chris Mepham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Sunderland AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Sunderland AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' Sunderland AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Sunderland AFC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' Josh Brownhill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Jeremy Sarmiento comes on to replace Zian Flemming.
  • 73' Sunderland AFC have won 478 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 77' The whistle greets Chris Rigg as he departs to be replaced by Eliezer Mayenda.
  • 82' Luca Koleosho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josh Brownhill at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' Sunderland AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Ballard is hanging Chris Mepham on the field on 83 minute.
  • 84' CJ Egan-Riley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Enzo Le Fee argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Sunderland AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Lyle Foster as he leaves the pitch. Ashley Barnes steps in for Burnley FC.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Burnley FC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC41% Draw33% Sunderland AFC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
59%
Burnley FC or Sunderland AFC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC24% Draw59% Sunderland AFC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 23% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 18% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.