Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sunderland AFC
1 – 2
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 15,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Thomas Cannon pen
Milan Aleksic 64' 1–1
1–2 112' Niall Ennis
Chris Rigg 23' Y
Y 63' Lewis Baker
Y 72' Andrew Moran
Y 93' Wouter Burger
Y 99' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC — FA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
4
Sunderland AFC 7 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC 2024-12-07 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2024-01-27 Sunderland AFC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-21 Stoke City FC 2–1 Sunderland AFC

Recent Form

Sunderland AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D
21 Dec Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
04 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Sunderland AFC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sunderland AFC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 4' Brilliant from the ! Thomas Cannon makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 4.
  • 9' Lynden Gooch has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 41 cards already picked up this season.
  • 14' Wouter Burger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a card on 23.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' Tatsuki Seko, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 38' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Junior Tchamadeu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 53' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact .
  • 59' Aji Alese makes way for Zak Johnson at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sunderland AFC.
  • 60' The whistle greets Chris Rigg as he departs to be replaced by Milan Aleksic.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Baker.
  • 64' What a moment for Milan Aleksic! That strike on 64 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sunderland AFC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 75' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Lewis Koumas by Joon-ho Bae on 75 minute.
  • 76' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Thomas Cannon is withdrawn and Niall Ennis gets his opportunity.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Sunderland AFC team. Harrison Jones is replaced by Salis Abdul Samed on 79 minute.
  • 84' Sunderland AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sunderland AFC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sunderland AFC.

Lineups

Sunderland AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tyrese Campbell 3
Dwight Gayle 2
Tom Watson 2
Thomas Cannon 2
Luke McNally 1
Jack Clarke 1
Abdoullah Ba 1
Mason Burstow 1

Head to Head

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC 2024-12-07 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2024-01-27 Sunderland AFC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-21 Stoke City FC 2–1 Sunderland AFC

Sunderland AFC Form

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-05 Sunderland AFC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-01-01 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Sheffield United FC W 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC L 2024-12-26 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–2 Sunderland AFC D 2024-12-21 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Norwich City FC W

Stoke City FC Form

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-01-01 Burnley FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC W 2024-12-26 Stoke City FC 0–2 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-21 Sheffield Wednesday FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC38% Draw30% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
62%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC28% Draw50% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.