Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 15,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Thomas Cannon pen
Milan Aleksic 64' 1–1
1–2 112' Niall Ennis

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FCFA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D
21 Dec Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
04 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Sunderland AFC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadium of Light. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' Goal! Thomas Cannon scores his 25 goal in 319 matches.
  • 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Junior Tchamadeu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' Sunderland AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
  • 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 33' It looks surprising Sunderland AFC does not make any changes. Leo Hjelde has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 43' Simon Moore has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 58' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' Another substitution for Sunderland AFC to replace Aji Alese by Zak Johnson on 59 minute.
  • 60' Milan Aleksic is replacing Chris Rigg for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 63' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' Goal! Milan Aleksic scores his 1 goal in 363 matches.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sunderland AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' Andrew Moran was booked on 72.
  • 75' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Lewis Koumas by Joon-ho Bae on 75 minute.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Thomas Cannon is replaced by Niall Ennis on 76 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Sunderland AFC. Harrison Jones is replaced by Salis Abdul Samed.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' Wouter Burger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC38% Draw30% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
62%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC28% Draw50% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.