Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sunderland AFC
1 – 2
Full Time
Stoke City FC
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 15,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Thomas Cannon pen
Milan Aleksic 64' 1–1
1–2 112' Niall Ennis
Chris Rigg 23' Y
Y 63' Lewis Baker
Y 72' Andrew Moran
Y 93' Wouter Burger
Y 99' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC — FA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
4
Sunderland AFC 7 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stoke City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC 2024-12-07 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2024-01-27 Sunderland AFC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-21 Stoke City FC 2–1 Sunderland AFC

Recent Form

Sunderland AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D
21 Dec Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
04 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Sunderland AFC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadium of Light will turn into a battlefield for Sunderland AFC and Stoke City FC.
  • 4' The Ireland Thomas Cannon breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 0-1!
  • 9' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Chris Rigg.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Sol Sidibe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sunderland AFC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 48' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' The 25-year-old Aji Alese has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' Sunderland AFC is showing some good football. However, Sunderland AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Sunderland AFC team. Aji Alese is replaced by Zak Johnson on 59 minute.
  • 60' Sunderland AFC make a change. Chris Rigg trudges off to be replaced by Milan Aleksic on 60 minutes.
  • 63' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 64' What composure from Milan Aleksic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 69' Ashley Phillips is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sunderland AFC tonight.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Andrew Moran on 72 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
  • 75' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 75 minute. Lewis Koumas leaves to be changed by Joon-ho Bae.
  • 76' Niall Ennis is replacing Thomas Cannon for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 79' Sunderland AFC make a change. Harrison Jones trudges off to be replaced by Salis Abdul Samed on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Sunderland AFC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's shape.
  • 89' Sunderland AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Stoke City FC take all three points.

Lineups

Sunderland AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tyrese Campbell 3
Dwight Gayle 2
Tom Watson 2
Thomas Cannon 2
Niall Ennis 1
Alex Pritchard 1
Milan Aleksic 1
Ryan Mmaee 1

Head to Head

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC 2024-12-07 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2024-01-27 Sunderland AFC 3–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-21 Stoke City FC 2–1 Sunderland AFC

Sunderland AFC Form

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-05 Sunderland AFC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-01-01 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Sheffield United FC W 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC L 2024-12-26 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–2 Sunderland AFC D 2024-12-21 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Norwich City FC W

Stoke City FC Form

2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-01-01 Burnley FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2024-12-29 Stoke City FC 1–0 Sunderland AFC W 2024-12-26 Stoke City FC 0–2 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-21 Sheffield Wednesday FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC38% Draw30% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
62%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC28% Draw50% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.