Thursday , 1 October 2026

Burnley FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 20,119 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
14 Dec Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
10 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Stoke City FC
#24 Position #7
4 Points 13
8 Played 8
0 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
9 Scored 13
17 Conceded 12
-8 GD +1
0.50 PPG 1.63
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at Turf Moor.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 13' The referee calls foul for Andrew Moran. He receives a card.
  • 18' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 23' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' Jay Rodriguez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Lyle Foster needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Wouter Burger is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Jay Rodriguez is replaced by Zian Flemming on 63 minute.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Jeremy Sarmiento by Hannibal Mejbri on 69 minute.
  • 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 76' Lynden Gooch is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 78' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Lucas Pires is withdrawn and Bashir Humphreys gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 79 minute. Thomas Cannon leaves to be changed by Emre Tezgel.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Junior Tchamadeu.
  • 87' Hannibal Mejbri was booked on 87.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Gallagher on 90.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Stoke City FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC39% Draw28% Stoke City FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Stoke City FC
61%
Burnley FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC23% Draw50% Stoke City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.