Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 20,119 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
14 Dec Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
10 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Stoke City FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luca Koleosho, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 13' It’s gonna be a card for Andrew Moran.
  • 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lyle Foster suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Bashir Humphreys has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 53' Ben Wilmot needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wouter Burger made 322 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Sam Gallagher is replacing Wouter Burger for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Jay Rodriguez is replaced by Zian Flemming on 63 minute.
  • 68' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Hannibal Mejbri. He replaces Jeremy Sarmiento on 69 minute.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Lynden Gooch.
  • 78' Bashir Humphreys has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Pires on 78 minute.
  • 79' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emre Tezgel is hanging Thomas Cannon on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junior Tchamadeu on 84.
  • 87' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Sam Gallagher is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC49% Draw31% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Stoke City FC
51%
Burnley FC or Stoke City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC29% Draw57% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.