Thursday , 2 July 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Fri 29 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Amex Stadium 31,542 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kaoru Mitoma 29' 1–0
1–1 59' Flynn Downes

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Amex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Southampton FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov AFC Bournemouth A 2–1 W
09 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
02 Nov Liverpool FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
19 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct Leicester City FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Brighton & Hove Albion FC gets underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 12' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 16' Brighton & Hove Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 21' Brighton & Hove Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Goal! Kaoru Mitoma scores his 56 goal in 439 matches.
  • 31' Kyle Walker-Peters is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryan Manning, as he is very good at scoring at Amex Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Brighton & Hove Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Aribo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Taylor Harwood-Bellis was booked on 55.
  • 59' GOAL! Flynn Downes scores on 59.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Flynn Downes is replaced by Joe Aribo.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' The whistle greets Tariq Lamptey as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dunk.
  • 73' Another substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC to replace Matt O'Riley by Mats Wieffer on 73 minute.
  • 78' It’s high time Russell Martin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC. Danny Welbeck is replaced by Evan Ferguson.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Lumley made 378 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' Another substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC to replace Georginio Rutter by Yankubah Minteh on 88 minute.
  • 90' Mats Wieffer is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Adam Armstrong departs to be replaced by Ben Brereton.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC50% Draw27% Southampton FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Southampton FC
50%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.