Sunday , 16 August 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Fri 29 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Amex Stadium 31,542 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kaoru Mitoma 29' 1–0
1–1 59' Flynn Downes

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Amex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Southampton FC H 1–1 D
23 Nov AFC Bournemouth A 2–1 W
09 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
02 Nov Liverpool FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
19 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct Leicester City FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC50% Draw27% Southampton FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Southampton FC
50%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.