Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,145 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cameron Archer 8' 1–0
Joe Aribo 28' 2–0
2–1 64' Facundo Buonanotte
2–2 74' Jamie Vardy pen
2–3 90+8' Jordan Ayew

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Leicester City FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Leicester City FC H 2–3 L
05 Oct Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Southampton FC A 3–2 W
05 Oct AFC Bournemouth H 1–0 W
28 Sep Arsenal FC A 2–4 L
21 Sep Everton FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
31 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Leicester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw26% Leicester City FC43%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Leicester City FC
69%
Southampton FC or Leicester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC25% Draw42% Leicester City FC33%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.