Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Ian Hussin
  • Referee Scott Ledger
  • Referee Lee Betts

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–3 L
12 Nov Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
06 Nov Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
29 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
19 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Southampton FC A 3–1 W
13 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–2 W
29 Oct Chelsea FC H 4–1 W
22 Oct Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw27% Brighton & Hove Albion FC43%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
70%
Southampton FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC23% Draw43% Brighton & Hove Albion FC34%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.