Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Joao Pedro
0–2 49' Kaoru Mitoma
David Brooks 90+3' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Brentford FC A 2–3 L
02 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Arsenal FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#17 Position #3
3 Points 10
5 Played 5
0 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 16
8 Conceded 5
-2 GD +11
0.60 PPG 2.00
0% Win % 60%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 17th (3 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.11 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth19% Draw22% Brighton & Hove Albion FC59%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
41%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
81%
AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth14% Draw37% Brighton & Hove Albion FC49%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 3
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 4
4.7%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 34% — 66%
+1 34% 21% 45%
+1.5 55% — 45%
+2 55% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.