Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Joao Pedro
0–2 49' Kaoru Mitoma
David Brooks 90+3' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Brentford FC A 2–3 L
02 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Arsenal FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#13 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Bournemouth are 13th (0 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.62 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth27% Draw38% Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
65%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
73%
AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth15% Draw65% Brighton & Hove Albion FC20%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.3%
0 – 1
17.3%
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
0 – 3
1.6%
1 – 3
1.2%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 18% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 22% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
48%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.