Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Joao Pedro
0–2 49' Kaoru Mitoma
David Brooks 90+3' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Brentford FC A 2–3 L
02 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Arsenal FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#7 Position #2
15 Points 22
10 Played 10
4 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 1 / 2
16 Scored 26
14 Conceded 7
+2 GD +19
1.50 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 70%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
70% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 4 G 4 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 3 G 2 A
Yasin Ayari 3 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 3 G
Maxim De Cuyper 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth23% Draw25% Brighton & Hove Albion FC52%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
47%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
77%
AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth17% Draw42% Brighton & Hove Albion FC41%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.