Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Etihad Stadium 52,844 HT 45' · FT 45'
Erling Haaland 5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Derek Eaton
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Southampton FC H 1–0 W
23 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 5–0 W
20 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
05 Oct Fulham FC H 3–2 W
01 Oct SK Slovan Bratislava A 4–0 W
28 Sep Newcastle United FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct Leicester City FC H 2–3 L
05 Oct Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Etihad Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The deadlock is broken! Erling Haaland gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Manchester City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jeremy Doku scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Flynn Downes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phil Foden, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 42 goals in the last 33 games.
  • 40' Manchester City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Flynn Downes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Russell Martin on 43 minutes.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Adam Armstrong. He replaces Tyler Dibling on 46 minute.
  • 48' Adam Armstrong was booked on 48.
  • 53' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Adam Lallana picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Adam Lallana is replaced by Joe Aribo on 60 minute.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 75' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Ryan Manning is replaced by James Bree.
  • 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' Ilkay Gundogan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Nunes at the 86 minute mark.
  • 87' Southampton FC make a change. Flynn Downes trudges off to be replaced by Kamal Deen Sulemana on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Mateo Kovacic was booked on 89.
  • 90' Rico Lewis makes way for John Stones at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Manchester City FC.
  • 1-0 the final result. Southampton FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC66% Draw21% Southampton FC13%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Southampton FC
34%
Manchester City FC or Southampton FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC45% Draw43% Southampton FC12%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 20% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.