Saturday , 8 August 2026

AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 37,108 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Stassin 9' 1–0
1–1 43' Goncalo Ramos pen
1–3 53' Desire Doue
1–4 62' Joao Neves
1–5 66' Desire Doue
1–6 90' Ibrahim M'Baye

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Berthomieu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–6 L
09 Mar Le Havre AC A 1–1 D
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar AS Saint-Etienne A 6–1 W
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.65 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne18% Draw20% Paris Saint-Germain FC62%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
38%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
82%
AS Saint-Etienne or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne15% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
8%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.