Sunday , 9 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 16:00 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,199 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Gouiri 27' 1–0
Mason Greenwood pen 50' 2–0
Michael Murillo 58' 3–0
Amine Gouiri 60' 4–0
Adrien Rabiot 77' 5–0
5–1 79' Lucas Stassin

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Abdelatif Kherradji
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W
02 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
26 Jan OGC Nice A 0–2 L
19 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
11 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Nantes H 1–1 D
12 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Orange Velodrome will turn into a battlefield for Olympique de Marseille and AS Saint-Étienne.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Orange Velodrome. Olympique de Marseille seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Henrique suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Lucas Stassin. He receives a card.
  • 20' AS Saint-Étienne come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto De Zerbi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' The deadlock is broken! Amine Gouiri gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' AS Saint-Étienne are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' Olympique de Marseille are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against AS Saint-Étienne's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 46' Fresh legs for AS Saint-Etienne! Irvin Cardona comes on to replace Augustine Boakye.
  • 50' The deadlock is broken! Mason Greenwood gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
  • 55' The 30-year-old Dylan Batubinsika has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michael Murillo makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 60' Amine Gouiri makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and Olympique de Marseille are in front.
  • 62' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Benjamin Bouchouari exits the field as Louis Mouton enters on 62.
  • 66' Amar Dedic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Quentin Merlin at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' Ismael Bennacer makes way for Valentin Rongier at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Olympique de Marseille.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Derek Cornelius.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Bilal Nadir. He replaces Mason Greenwood on 72 minute.
  • 77' Adrien Rabiot does the damage! The net is bulging and Olympique de Marseille surge ahead!
  • 79' Lucas Stassin adds to his 0 season tally! AS Saint-Etienne lead 5-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Florian Tardieu exits the field as Lamine Fomba enters on 81.
  • 86' The travelling AS Saint-Étienne supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Olympique de Marseille to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw20% AS Saint-Etienne16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
84%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
36%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Saint-Etienne
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw39% AS Saint-Etienne15%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.