Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Wed 5 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Parc des Princes 47,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 87' Harvey Elliott

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC — Champions League at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
19 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 7–0 W
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
26 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
23 Feb Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
19 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
16 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
12 Feb Everton FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Liverpool FC
#11 Position #3
14 Points 18
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
21 Scored 20
11 Conceded 8
+10 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.25
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Liverpool FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 3 G
Ousmane Dembele 2 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Parc des Princes as Paris Saint-Germain FC face off against Liverpool FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising Liverpool FC does not make any changes. Harvey Elliott has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Liverpool FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris Saint-Germain FC and Liverpool FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' Paris Saint-Germain FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Curtis Jones, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ibrahima Konate suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Marquinhos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 48' Gianluigi Donnarumma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Joao Neves has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 66' Bradley Barcola makes way for Desire Doue at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 67' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Diogo Jota by Darwin Nunez on 67 minute.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Virgil van Dijk.
  • 75' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 78' Goncalo Ramos is replacing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 79' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Ryan Gravenberch by Wataru Endo on 79 minute.
  • 84' With 3 assists to his name this season, Bradley Barcola is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Liverpool FC.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Harvey Elliott comes on to replace Mohamed Salah.
  • 87' Assisted by Darwin Nunez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Harvey Elliott makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • Another three points for Liverpool FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Liverpool FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC39% Draw26% Liverpool FC35%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Liverpool FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC31% Draw41% Liverpool FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.