Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Wed 5 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Parc des Princes 47,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 87' Harvey Elliott

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
19 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 7–0 W
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
26 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
23 Feb Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
19 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
16 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
12 Feb Everton FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Liverpool FC
#11 Position #3
14 Points 18
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 2
21 Scored 20
11 Conceded 8
+10 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.25
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts). Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Paris Saint-Germain FC is hosting Liverpool FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Liverpool FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Liverpool FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris Saint-Germain FC that had 520 games and scored 844 goals.
  • 30' Paris Saint-Germain FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Paris Saint-Germain FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Marquinhos is booked for Paris Saint-Germain FC — card on 38.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris Saint-Germain FC and Liverpool FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arne Slot might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Marquinhos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Liverpool FC so far.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joao Neves suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Desire Doue gets the nod from Paris Saint-Germain FC. He replaces Bradley Barcola and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Darwin Nunez gets the nod from Liverpool FC. He replaces Diogo Jota and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' The referee shows Liverpool FC player a card on 70.
  • 75' Paris Saint-Germain FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Paris Saint-Germain FCGoncalo Ramos on, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia off on 78 minutes.
  • 79' Wataru Endo is replacing Ryan Gravenberch for the Liverpool FC side.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Liverpool FCHarvey Elliott on, Mohamed Salah off on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Harvey Elliott makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 87.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Liverpool FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC39% Draw26% Liverpool FC35%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Liverpool FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC31% Draw41% Liverpool FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.