Thursday , 2 July 2026

Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

1 5
1 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Anfield 59,765 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Ousmane Dembele

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCChampions League at Anfield.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
  • Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
16 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–5 L
08 Mar Southampton FC H 3–1 W
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
26 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
23 Feb Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
19 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
19 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

Liverpool FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#3 Position #11
18 Points 14
8 Played 8
6 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
20 Scored 21
8 Conceded 11
+12 GD +10
2.25 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Liverpool FC welcome Paris Saint-Germain FC for this crunch clash at Anfield.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Liverpool FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' It looks surprising Liverpool FC does not make any changes. Nuno Mendes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 12' Ousmane Dembele makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Paris Saint-Germain FC are in front.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' Paris Saint-Germain FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 27' Paris Saint-Germain FC is showing some good football. However, Paris Saint-Germain FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ibrahima Konate made 513 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' The 21-year-old Joao Neves has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Marquinhos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Liverpool FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Paris Saint-Germain FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 61' It’s high time Luis Enrique made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Mohamed Salah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 213 goals in his last 409 appearances.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Bradley Barcola as he leaves the pitch. Desire Doue steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 72' A quiet spell here at Anfield. Liverpool FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 73' Liverpool FC ring the changes. Diogo Jota has done his job and it is now time for Darwin Nunez to step up.
  • 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 88' Liverpool FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris Saint-Germain FC backline.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Alexis Mac Allister is booked for Liverpool FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Paris Saint-Germain FC! Lucas Beraldo comes on to replace Marquinhos.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-5.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Liverpool FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Liverpool FC37% Draw23% Paris Saint-Germain FC40%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
63%
Liverpool FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC28% Draw37% Paris Saint-Germain FC35%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.