Sunday , 16 August 2026

Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

1 5
1 – 4 pen
Full Time
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Anfield 59,765 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Ousmane Dembele

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCChampions League at Anfield.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Assistant 1 Mihai Marica
  • Assistant 2 Ferencz Tunyogi (Romania)
15 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 12.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–5 L
08 Mar Southampton FC H 3–1 W
05 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
26 Feb Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
23 Feb Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
19 Feb Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
19 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

Liverpool FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#3 Position #11
18 Points 14
8 Played 8
6 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
20 Scored 21
8 Conceded 11
+12 GD +10
2.25 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Liverpool FC are 3rd (18 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Dominik Szoboszlai 5 G 4 A
Mohamed Salah 3 G 1 A
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 10 G 6 A
Ousmane Dembele 8 G 2 A
Vitinha 6 G 1 A
Desire Doue 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Liverpool FC welcome Paris Saint-Germain FC for this crunch clash at Anfield.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diogo Jota is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Liverpool FC.
  • 10' Ousmane Dembele has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 27 cards already picked up this season.
  • 12' GOAL! Ousmane Dembele fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 22' Virgil van Dijk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 30 Yellow cards this season.
  • 27' Liverpool FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 32' Paris Saint-Germain FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' Paris Saint-Germain FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 42' Liverpool FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marquinhos on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Liverpool FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Anfield. Liverpool FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' Paris Saint-Germain FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' The Paris Saint-Germain FC manager makes a substitution. Bradley Barcola departs to be replaced by Desire Doue.
  • 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nuno Mendes made 505 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Diogo Jota is replaced by Darwin Nunez on 73 minute.
  • 78' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 83' Luis Diaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paris Saint-Germain FC so far.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Alexis Mac Allister is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Marquinhos as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Beraldo.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Paris Saint-Germain FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Liverpool FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Liverpool FC37% Draw23% Paris Saint-Germain FC40%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
63%
Liverpool FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC28% Draw37% Paris Saint-Germain FC35%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.