Saturday , 7 November 2026

AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 30,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Pablo Rosario
Lucas Stassin 32' 1–1
1–2 52' Mickael Nade og
1–3 69' Evann Guessand

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset
8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar AS Saint-Etienne A 3–1 W
23 Feb Montpellier HSC H 2–0 W
16 Feb Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodo/Glimt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

OGC Nice
Sepe Elye Wahi 6 G 2 A
Jonathan Clauss 2 G 1 A
Mohammed Amoura 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AS Saint-Etienne welcome OGC Nice for this crunch clash at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.
  • 5' A meaty challenge results in booking for Irvin Cardona on 5.
  • 6' It’s a booking for OGC Nice player. Jonathan Clauss gets a card.
  • 10' Against the run of play, Pablo Rosario has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 15' AS Saint-Etienne seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' OGC Nice have won 374 goals from 449 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Lucas Stassin adds to his 1 season tally! AS Saint-Etienne lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Louchet suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Saint-Etienne is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' OGC Nice is showing some good football. However, OGC Nice are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 52' A stunning finish from Mickael Nade — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 57' OGC Nice started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' OGC Nice ring the changes. Gaetan Laborde has done his job and it is now time for Sofiane Diop to step up.
  • 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Evann Guessand makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and OGC Nice are in front.
  • 71' Another substitution for AS Saint-Etienne to replace Irvin Cardona by Augustine Boakye on 71 minute.
  • 76' Dante needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' Tom Louchet gets the nod from OGC Nice. He replaces Jonathan Clauss and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' Ali El Abdi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Evann Guessand on 88 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxime Bernauer on 90.
  • It finishes all square. AS Saint-Etienne and OGC Nice share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne22% Draw24% OGC Nice54%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
46%
Draw or OGC Nice
78%
AS Saint-Etienne or OGC Nice
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne18% Draw41% OGC Nice41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.