Sunday , 9 August 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 30,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Pablo Rosario
Lucas Stassin 32' 1–1
1–2 52' Mickael Nade og
1–3 69' Evann Guessand

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 3–1 W
23 Feb Montpellier HSC H 2–0 W
16 Feb Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodo/Glimt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AS Saint-Étienne vs OGC Nice — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Irvin Cardona was booked on 5.
  • 6' OGC Nice receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
  • 10' Pablo Rosario puts OGC Nice on the lead.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Saint-Étienne side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Mickael Nade is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for OGC Nice tonight.
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' What a moment for Lucas Stassin! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering OGC Nice that had 442 games and scored 370 goals.
  • 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Youssouf Ndayishimiye is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AS Saint-Étienne.
  • 47' Dylan Batubinsika has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' Mickael Nade is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Saint-Étienne and OGC Nice are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' The crowd applauds Gaetan Laborde as he leaves the pitch. Sofiane Diop steps in for OGC Nice.
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Saint-Étienne and OGC Nice are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 69' GOAL! Evann Guessand fires home to make it 0-4!
  • 71' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Irvin Cardona is replaced by Augustine Boakye.
  • 76' Aimen Moueffek, a Morocco , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 79' OGC Nice ring the changes. Jonathan Clauss has done his job and it is now time for Tom Louchet to step up.
  • 84' AS Saint-Étienne are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against OGC Nice's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 88' Ali El Abdi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Evann Guessand on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Maxime Bernauer.
  • OGC Nice celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne22% Draw24% OGC Nice54%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
46%
Draw or OGC Nice
78%
AS Saint-Etienne or OGC Nice
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne18% Draw41% OGC Nice41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
13%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.