Wednesday , 23 September 2026

AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 30,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Pablo Rosario
Lucas Stassin 32' 1–1
1–2 52' Mickael Nade og
1–3 69' Evann Guessand

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar AS Saint-Etienne A 3–1 W
23 Feb Montpellier HSC H 2–0 W
16 Feb Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodø/Glimt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stade Geoffroy Guichard!
  • 5' AS Saint-Etienne player sees a card in front of him.
  • 6' Jonathan Clauss was booked on 6.
  • 10' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pablo Rosario makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Franck Haise might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eirik Horneland will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' AS Saint-Etienne seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Jeremie Boga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 32' Lucas Stassin doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Saint-Etienne and OGC Nice are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 42' Gautier Larsonneur is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Saint-Etienne tonight.
  • 47' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' What a moment for Mickael Nade! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' France international Baptiste Santamaria has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' Sofiane Diop is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gaetan Laborde at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' It looks surprising AS Saint-Etienne does not make any changes. Melvin Bard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Evann Guessand gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 71' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Irvin Cardona has done his job and it is now time for Augustine Boakye to step up.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' The crowd applauds Jonathan Clauss as he leaves the pitch. Tom Louchet steps in for OGC Nice.
  • 84' OGC Nice come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 88' The OGC Nice bench stirs into life. Evann Guessand is withdrawn and Ali El Abdi gets his opportunity.
  • 90' AS Saint-Etienne player sees a card in front of him.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for OGC Nice players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne22% Draw24% OGC Nice54%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
46%
Draw or OGC Nice
78%
AS Saint-Etienne or OGC Nice
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne18% Draw41% OGC Nice41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
13%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.