Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,926 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 17' 1–0
Nuno Mendes 42' 2–0
2–1 51' Amine Gouiri
Pol Mikel Lirola og 76' 3–1
Nuno Mendes 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Olympique de Marseille
#3 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.35 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 77% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC63% Draw27% Olympique de Marseille10%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
37%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Olympique de Marseille
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris Saint-Germain FC38% Draw56% Olympique de Marseille6%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23.8%
0 – 0
20.5%
2 – 0
16%
1 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
2.4%
1 – 2
1.4%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 1
1%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 19% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 30% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
71%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.