Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,926 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 17' 1–0
Nuno Mendes 42' 2–0
2–1 51' Amine Gouiri
Pol Mikel Lirola og 76' 3–1
Nuno Mendes 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Olympique de Marseille
#6 Position #17
8 Points 3
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 4
8 Scored 7
7 Conceded 8
+1 GD -1
1.60 PPG 0.60
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A
Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC67% Draw19% Olympique de Marseille14%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
33%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Olympique de Marseille
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC49% Draw38% Olympique de Marseille13%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.