Saturday , 14 November 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Parc des Princes 47,926 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ousmane Dembele 17' 1–0
Nuno Mendes 42' 2–0
2–1 51' Amine Gouiri
Pol Mikel Lirola og 76' 3–1
Nuno Mendes 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
11 Mar Liverpool FC A 5–1 W
08 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 4–1 W
05 Mar Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Lille OSC H 4–1 W
23 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC Olympique de Marseille
#1 Position #4
23 Points 18
10 Played 10
7 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 4
22 Scored 22
10 Conceded 14
+12 GD +8
2.30 PPG 1.80
70% Win % 60%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A
Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.55 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC68% Draw18% Olympique de Marseille14%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
32%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Olympique de Marseille
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC50% Draw36% Olympique de Marseille14%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 21% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.