UD Almeria vs Malaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almeria vs Malaga CF — Segunda Division at UD Almeria Stadium.
- UD Almeria 42 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
- Malaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jon Gonzalez Esteban (Spain)
- Assistant 1 David Perez de Colosia (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Luis Miguel Marin Robles (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Malaga CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Real Racing Club de Santander | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | CD Leganes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | CD Castellon | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Real Sociedad B | H | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Mar | SD Huesca | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | UD Almeria | A | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | UD Las Palmas | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | RC Deportivo La Coruna | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Apr | Andorra CF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Cadiz CF | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| UD Almeria | Malaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 74 | Points | 73 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 22 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 11 |
| 81 | Scored | 75 |
| 63 | Conceded | 52 |
| +18 | GD | +23 |
| 1.76 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 52% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts). Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. UD Almeria is hosting Malaga CF for another epic battle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Miguel made 323 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 8' The referee calls foul for Andre Horta. He receives a card.
- 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Diego Murillo suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almeria that had 160 games and scored 187 goals.
- 24' Malaga CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 29' Malaga CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
- 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Francisco Montero on 36.
- 41' It’s high time Juan Funes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The travelling Malaga CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' GOAL! Adri Embarba scores on 50. Assisted by Miguel
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' Malaga CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 63' Adri Embarba with the second goal in the match!
- 64' Another substitution for Malaga CF to replace Rodriguez Ruiz by Adrian on 64 minute.
- 67' Goal! Adrian scores his 4 goal in 523 matches.
- 72' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guilherme Guedes is hanging Andre Horta on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' Aaron Ochoa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 41 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 78' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Miguel by Thalys on 78 minute.
- 82' Time for substitution for Malaga CF. Francisco Montero is replaced by Einar Galilea.
- 84' Goal! Haitam Abaida scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
- 87' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Adri Embarba by Jon Morcillo on 87 minute.
- 90' Puga was booked on 90.
- 90' It is a substitution in Malaga CF team. Carlos Dotor is replaced by Ramon Enriquez Rodriguez on 90 minute.
- With this win, UD Almeria is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
UD Almeria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 1
- 23
- 24
- 3
- 6
- 2
- 18
- 11
- 22
- 29
Bench
- 12
- 20
- 4
- 13
- 7
- 8
- 19
- 21
- 31
- 9
- 16
Coach
Rubí
Malaga CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
11
Joaquin Munoz ↓ Haitam Abaida 82'
- 12
-
25
Josue Dorrio ↓ Aaron Ochoa 64'
- 16
- 3
- 23
- 9
- 31
-
37
Rodriguez Ruiz ↓ Adrian 64'
Bench
- 5
- 17
- 24
-
21
Adrian ↑ 64'
- 2
- 14
-
35
Aaron Ochoa ↑ 64'
- 13
-
4
Einar Galilea ↑ 82'
-
7
Haitam Abaida ↑ 82'
-
6
Ramon Enriquez Rodriguez ↑ 90'
- 36
Coach
Juan Funes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Baptistao | 2 |
| Adri Embarba | 2 |
| Adrian | 1 |
| Haitam Abaida | 1 |
| Sergio Arribas | 1 |
| Antonio Cordero | 1 |
| Daniel Sanchez | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Almeria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22
UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
Malaga CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almeria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
UD Almeria or Draw
69%
Draw or Malaga CF
53%
UD Almeria or Malaga CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.2%
1 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — UD Almeria
| Handicap | UD Almeria covers | Push | Malaga CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

