Malaga CF vs UD Almeria, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Malaga CF vs UD Almeria — Segunda Division .
- Malaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almeria 42 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | UD Almeria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Albacete Balompie | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CD Mirandes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Nov | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Malaga CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Burgos CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Dec | Andorra CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | SD Huesca | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Nov | AD Ceuta FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Nov | CD Leganes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Malaga CF | UD Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 73 | Points | 74 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 21 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 8 / 12 |
| 75 | Scored | 81 |
| 52 | Conceded | 63 |
| +23 | GD | +18 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 50% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Malaga CF to score. At the same time, UD Almeria does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Malaga CF players.
Lineups
Malaga CF Lineups
UD Almeria Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Baptistao | 2 |
| Adri Embarba | 2 |
| Adrian | 1 |
| Haitam Abaida | 1 |
| Sergio Arribas | 1 |
| Antonio Cordero | 1 |
| Daniel Sanchez | 1 |
Head to Head
Malaga CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07
Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
UD Almeria xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Malaga CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Malaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or UD Almeria
50%
Malaga CF or UD Almeria
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Malaga CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Malaga CF
| Handicap | Malaga CF covers | Push | UD Almeria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

