Tuesday , 22 September 2026

UD Almería vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
2 2
Full Time
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 11,202 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leo Baptistao 11' 1–0
Sergio Arribas 53' 2–0
2–1 55' Daniel Sanchez
2–2 62' Antonio Cordero pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Malaga CFSegunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruben Avalos Barrera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Brian Valencia Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 David Bernal Martin (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
UD Almería 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Málaga CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Málaga CF H 2–2 D
22 Feb Real Sporting de Gijón A 1–1 D
17 Feb Elche CF H 1–1 D
09 Feb RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–3 L
01 Feb Real Oviedo H 1–1 D
26 Jan Albacete Balompié A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar UD Almería A 2–2 D
21 Feb CD Tenerife H 1–0 W
15 Feb FC Cartagena A 1–0 W
08 Feb Levante UD H 1–1 D
01 Feb Real Racing Club de Santander A 1–2 L
26 Jan Real Zaragoza H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almería
0-15
3/
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almería
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for UD Almería to score. At the same time, Málaga CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3' The referee has no hesitation. Aaron Ochoa is booked for Malaga CF — card on 3.
  • 8' The 26-year-old Roko Baturina has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 11' What a moment for Leo Baptistao! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' Málaga CF come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' That is a card for Malaga CF. Kevin Villodres will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' Malaga CF ring the changes. Ramon Enriquez Rodriguez has done his job and it is now time for Izan Merino to step up.
  • 31' Málaga CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Nelson Monte.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' Alejandro Pozo, a Spain , has 13 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Malaga CF team. Kevin Villodres is replaced by Antonio Cordero on 46 minute.
  • 51' Málaga CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Sergio Arribas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' The Spain Daniel Sanchez breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 0-3!
  • 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' What composure from Antonio Cordero! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-4.
  • 64' UD Almeria make a change. Alejandro Pozo trudges off to be replaced by Arnau Puigmal on 64 minutes.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Silvi as he leaves the pitch. Gonzalo Melero steps in for UD Almeria.
  • 68' Luismi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Almería side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' UD Almeria ring the changes. Leo Baptistao has done his job and it is now time for Nico Melamed to step up.
  • 80' UD Almeria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Ochoa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Malaga CF make a change. Julen Lobete trudges off to be replaced by Yanis Rahmani on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.39 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Malaga CF xG
I would bet for: UD Almería or Malaga CF 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almería40% Draw28% Malaga CF32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
68%
Draw or Malaga CF
60%
UD Almería or Malaga CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almería28% Draw47% Malaga CF25%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Malaga CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
28%
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.