Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 14 Aug 2022 · 13:00 UTC Stade de l'Aube HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade de l'Aube.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Faouzi Benchabane
  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Referee
  • Referee Stephane Bre
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug Toulouse FC H 0–3 L
07 Aug Montpellier HSC A 2–3 L
21 May FC Lorient A 1–1 D
14 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–3 L
08 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–2 D
01 May Lille OSC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug ES Troyes AC A 3–0 W
07 Aug OGC Nice H 1–1 D
14 May AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
07 May Nimes Olympique H 2–1 W
02 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–1 L
25 Apr Chamois Niortais FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

ES Troyes AC Toulouse FC
#15 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ES Troyes AC are 15th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.31 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC18% Draw40% Toulouse FC42%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
57%
Draw or Toulouse FC
82%
ES Troyes AC or Toulouse FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC6% Draw68% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34%
0 – 1
25.1%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
1.3%
2 – 0
1.2%
1 – 3
1.2%
2 – 2
0.7%
0 – 4
0.6%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 9% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 29% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 12% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
43%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
73%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.