Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Hicham Zakrani
  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Referee Karim Abed
  • Referee
  • Referee
  • Referee Florian Goncalves

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb ES Troyes AC H 4–1 W
29 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–1 W
15 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 1–1 D
11 Jan AJ Auxerre A 5–0 W
01 Jan AC Ajaccio H 2–0 W
29 Dec Olympique de Marseille A 1–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
15 Jan Lille OSC A 1–5 L
11 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
02 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace A 3–2 W
28 Dec FC Nantes H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC ES Troyes AC
#12 Position #17
13 Points 8
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 6
15 Scored 7
14 Conceded 17
+1 GD -10
1.30 PPG 0.80
30% Win % 20%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
ES Troyes AC this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). ES Troyes AC are 17th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ES Troyes AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/5
61-75
1/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
ES Troyes AC
Renaud Ripart 1 G
Lucas Maronnier 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC70% Draw19% ES Troyes AC11%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
88%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
30%
Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC52% Draw38% ES Troyes AC10%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
9.6%
3 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% — 28%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.