Friday , 23 October 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 40,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Janis Antiste
0–2 45+4' Mahir Emreli
0–3 61' Julian Justvan
Danny Schmidt 68' 1–3
Danny Schmidt 71' 2–3
Shinta Appelkamp 78' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 22.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–3 D
19 Apr SV 07 Elversberg A 1–1 D
13 Apr SC Paderborn 07 A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preussen Munster H 1–0 W
29 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–3 L
15 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 3–3 D
19 Apr SC Paderborn 07 H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
05 Apr Hamburger SV H 0–3 L
30 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–2 L
16 Mar SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 3–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
5/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
Mohamed Ali Zoma 7 G
Piet Scobel 5 G 1 A
Adam Markhiev 3 G 2 A
Julian Justvan 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf48% Draw23% 1. FC Nurnberg29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
52%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or 1. FC Nurnberg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf35% Draw40% 1. FC Nurnberg25%
Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push 1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.