Monday , 17 August 2026

1. FC Nürnberg vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 8 Feb 2023 · 17:00 UTC Max-Morlock-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nurnberg vs TSV Fortuna 95 DusseldorfDFB-Pokal at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Justus Zorn
  • Referee Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
  • Referee Holger Henschel
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 6–4 W
18 Oct SV Waldhof Mannheim A 1–0 W
29 Jul 1. FC Kaan-Marienborn 07 A 2–0 W
26 Oct Hamburger SV H 3–5 L
07 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–0 W
12 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb 1. FC Nürnberg A 4–6 L
19 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg A 3–0 W
30 Jul Offenbacher Kickers A 4–1 W
27 Oct Hannover 96 A 0–3 L
08 Aug VfL Oldenburg A 5–0 W
23 Dec Rot-Weiss Essen A 2–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FC Nurnberg kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Max-Morlock-Stadion. 1. FC Nurnberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Thioune will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Nurnberg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jens Castrop suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' The 27-year-old Fabian Nurnberger has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' The deadlock is broken! Dawid Kownacki gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Nurnberg and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' The travelling TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Felix Lohkemper is replacing Fabian Nurnberger for the 1. FC Nurnberg side.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 55' The whistle greets Christoph Daferner as he departs to be replaced by Jermain Nischalke.
  • 59' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a Yellow card on 59.
  • 64' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' It is a substitution in 1. FC Nurnberg team. Kwadwo Duah is replaced by Erik Shuranov on 72 minute.
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinta Appelkamp, as he is very good at scoring at Max-Morlock-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' A tactical swap from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — Daniel Ginczek on, Rouwen Hennings off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Nurnberg and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Enrico Valentini makes way for Mats Moller Daehli at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Nurnberg.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Jona Niemiec. He replaces Dawid Kownacki on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for 1. FC Nurnberg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29 1. FC Nurnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nurnberg47% Draw21% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf32%
Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

1. FC Nurnberg or Draw
68%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
53%
1. FC Nurnberg or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Nurnberg35% Draw36% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf29%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–4 not predicted
6 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg

Handicap 1. FC Nurnberg covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 16% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
13%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.