SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Paderborn 07

1 – 2

Full Time

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 40' Danny Schmidt

0–2 52' Dawid Kownacki pen

Ilyas Ansah 78' 1–2

Y 43' Matthias Zimmermann

Y 57' Moritz Heyer

Luca Herrmann 59' Y

Santiago Castaneda 63' R

Y 65' Jona Niemiec

Sebastian Klaas 68' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Kampka
Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
Assistant 2 Justin Hasmann (Germany)

13 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-13 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2024-11-09 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2023-08-19 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2020-05-16 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–0 SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Apr	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	H	1–2	L
04 Apr	Eintracht Braunschweig	A	2–3	L
29 Mar	1. FC Koln	H	1–2	L
15 Mar	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	5–3	W
09 Mar	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	0–0	D
02 Mar	Hamburger SV	H	2–0	W

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Apr	SC Paderborn 07	A	2–1	W
05 Apr	SC Preussen Munster	H	1–0	W
29 Mar	1. FC Kaiserslautern	A	1–3	L
15 Mar	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	1–0	W
08 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	1–4	L
28 Feb	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
#3	Position	#17
62	Points	37
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 4 / 19
59	Scored	33
45	Conceded	53
+14	GD	-20
1.82	PPG	1.09
53%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

1/1

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf winning 100% of all matches.
10' Germany international Florian Kastenmeier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jan Boller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
20' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
35' Santiago Castaneda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
40' A goal from the Germany international Danny Schmidt! He fires home on 40 to make it 0-1!
43' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
48' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf's 3-5-2 shape.
52' The Poland Dawid Kownacki breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moritz Heyer on 57.
59' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
61' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sebastian Klaas comes on to replace Laurin Curda.
63' Santiago Castaneda was booked on 63.
65' The referee has no hesitation. Jona Niemiec is booked for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — card on 65.
68' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Sebastian Klaas gets a card.
71' Mattes Hansen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Gotze at the 71 minute mark.
76' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
78' What composure from Ilyas Ansah! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-2.
78' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Marvin Mehlem on, Filip Bilbija off on 78 minutes.
83' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
88' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
90' Shinta Appelkamp makes way for Hamza Anhari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf were simply the better side today.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

6
Marvin Mehlem ↑ 78'
30
Markus Schubert
11
Sven Michel ↑ 78'
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 61'
24
Casper Terho
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 71'
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 71'
43
Martin Ens
46
Luis Engelns

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

34
Nicolas Gavory
25
Matthias Zimmermann ↓ Deniz Bindemann 90'
3
Andre Hoffmann
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jan Boller 90'
5
Moritz Heyer
33
Florian Kastenmeier
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↓ Hamza Anhari 90'
20
Jamil Siebert
15
Tim Oberdorf
18
Jona Niemiec ↓ Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 78'
22
Danny Schmidt ↓ Giovanni Haag 78'

Bench

6
Giovanni Haag ↑ 78'
44
Jan Boller ↑ 90'
12
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson ↑ 78'
26
Florian Schock
40
Hamza Anhari ↑ 90'
41
Deniz Bindemann ↑ 90'

Coach Daniel Thioune

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yannik Engelhardt	1
David Kinsombi	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Mattes Hansen	1
Abdelhamid Sabiri	1
Koen Kostons	1
Sebastian Schonlau	1
Dawid Kownacki	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-04-13 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2025-04-04 Eintracht Braunschweig 3–2 SC Paderborn 07 L 2025-03-29 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 1. FC Koln L 2025-03-15 SC Paderborn 07 5–3 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-03-09 SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV W

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form

2025-04-13 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2025-04-05 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–0 SC Preussen Munster W 2025-03-29 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2025-03-15 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–0 SSV Jahn Regensburg W 2025-03-08 Hamburger SV 4–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2025-02-28 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.09 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0751% Draw25% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf24%

Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

76%

Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

49%

SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0741% Draw41% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf18%

Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.