Monday , 17 August 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 40' Danny Schmidt
0–2 52' Dawid Kownacki pen
Ilyas Ansah 78' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
  • Assistant 2 Justin Hasmann (Germany)

Recent Form

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is underway.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Lukas Kwasniok might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Filip Bilbija made 169 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Danny Schmidt makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 43' Matthias Zimmermann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 48' Over 48 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' Dawid Kownacki does the damage! The net is bulging and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf surge ahead!
  • 57' Moritz Heyer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 59' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Sebastian Klaas is replacing Laurin Curda for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 63' Poor challenge from Santiago Castaneda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' That is a card for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Jona Niemiec will be fuming at that decision.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Sebastian Klaas.
  • 71' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Felix Gotze is replaced by Mattes Hansen.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 78' A goal from the Germany international Ilyas Ansah! He fires home on 78 to make it 1-2!
  • 78' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07Marvin Mehlem on, Filip Bilbija off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Germany international Jamil Siebert has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' Shinta Appelkamp makes way for Hamza Anhari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0743% Draw27% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf30%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
70%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
57%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0733% Draw44% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf23%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.