1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
- 1. FC Nurnberg 34 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Steven Greif
- Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
14 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SC Preussen Munster | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Nurnberg | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 46 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 47 | Scored | 59 |
| 45 | Conceded | 45 |
| +2 | GD | +14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 35% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
1. FC Nurnberg are 8th (46 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 has kicked off!
- 2' Mahir Emreli doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Raphael Obermair has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
- 18' 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Schleimer is hanging Jens Castrop on the field on 18 minute.
- 20' The Germany Tjark Scheller breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-1!
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Nurnberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 41' Ilyas Ansah was booked on 41.
- 46' Finland international Casper Terho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 49' Ilyas Ansah adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 54' Ondrej Karafiat is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miroslav Klose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 65' Sven Michel gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Adriano Grimaldi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Obermair is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 70.
- 73' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Laurin Curda is hanging Marvin Mehlem on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Tjark Scheller is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 74.
- 77' What a strike from Sven Michel! The score is 1-3.
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Lubach on 81 minutes.
- 86' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Ilyas Ansah has done his job and it is now time for Casper Terho to step up.
- 88' Oliver Rose-Villadsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Janisch at the 88 minute mark.
- 89' Berkay Yilmaz is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- 90' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SC Paderborn 07 take all three points.
Lineups
1. FC Nurnberg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 1
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 5
- 18
- 32
- 21
Bench
- 23
- 3
- 22
- 26
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 34
- 33
Coach
Miroslav Klose
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 73'
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 65'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Luis Engelns 86'
- 33
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Casper Terho 86'
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 65'
-
24
Casper Terho ↑ 86'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 4
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 73'
- 43
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 86'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Nurnberg Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-04-12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2025-04-05
1. FC Nurnberg
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2025-03-30
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2025-03-16
1. FC Nurnberg
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
W
2025-03-09
SC Preussen Munster
0–1
1. FC Nurnberg
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63
1. FC Nurnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Nurnberg or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
1. FC Nurnberg or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
1. FC Nurnberg or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg
| Handicap | 1. FC Nurnberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.