1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
- 1. FC Nurnberg 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Steven Greif
- Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FC Nurnberg to score. At the same time, SC Paderborn 07 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 2' Brilliant from the forward! Mahir Emreli makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
- 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Miroslav Klose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 12' Ondrej Karafiat has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 17' Casper Terho, a Finland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' Lukas Schleimer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jens Castrop on 18 minute.
- 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tjark Scheller makes it 1-1.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Nurnberg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 40' 1. FC Nurnberg currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 41' Poor challenge from Ilyas Ansah. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 49' The Germany Ilyas Ansah breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 1-2!
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Nurnberg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' Raphael Obermair has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Sven Michel is replacing Adriano Grimaldi for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Raphael Obermair. He receives a card.
- 73' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Laurin Curda comes on to replace Marvin Mehlem.
- 74' Controversy at the stadium! Tjark Scheller argues furiously but the card stands.
- 77' What a moment for Sven Michel! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 81' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 81.
- 86' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Ilyas Ansah exits the field as Casper Terho enters on 86.
- 88' Fresh legs for 1. FC Nurnberg! Oliver Rose-Villadsen comes on to replace Tim Janisch.
- 89' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 89.
- 90' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FC Nurnberg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 1
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 5
- 18
- 32
- 21
Bench
- 23
- 3
- 22
- 26
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 34
- 33
Coach
Miroslav Klose
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 73'
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 65'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Luis Engelns 86'
- 33
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Casper Terho 86'
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 65'
-
24
Casper Terho ↑ 86'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 4
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 73'
- 43
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 86'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
| Tjark Scheller | 1 |
| Kanji Okunuki | 1 |
| Visar Musliu | 1 |
| Danilo Soares | 1 |
| Stefanos Tzimas | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Nurnberg Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-04-12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2025-04-05
1. FC Nurnberg
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2025-03-30
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2025-03-16
1. FC Nurnberg
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
W
2025-03-09
SC Preußen Münster
0–1
1. FC Nurnberg
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56
1. FC Nurnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Nurnberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
1. FC Nurnberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
1. FC Nurnberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg
| Handicap | 1. FC Nurnberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

