Friday , 9 October 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Falkirk FC A 1–2 L
06 Sep Dundee FC H 2–1 W
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 3–1 W
29 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
09 Aug Dundee United FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Dundee United FC H 0–3 L
09 Sep Rangers FC A 0–1 L
05 Sep Celtic FC H 1–2 L
02 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
08 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#3 Position #5
13 Points 10
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 8
8 Conceded 9
+6 GD -1
1.86 PPG 1.43
57% Win % 43%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

H2H

Predictions

2.1 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

Heart of Midlothian FC64% Draw22% St. Mirren FC14%

Both Teams to Score

Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.94

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
36%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
78%

Half-Time Result

Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw42% St. Mirren FC12%

Correct Score

2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 23% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
44%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.