Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
11 Jan Dundee FC A 1–0 W
03 Jan Livingston FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Rangers FC H 2–1 W
13 Dec Falkirk FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Rangers FC A 1–2 L
27 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Livingston FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#1 Position #10
70 Points 30
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
58 Scored 27
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -21
2.12 PPG 0.91
64% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC71% Draw19% St. Mirren FC10%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
91%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
29%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC52% Draw41% St. Mirren FC7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
3.3%
0 – 1
3%
5 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 23% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 24% 26%
-0.5 74% 26%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
59%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.