Wednesday , 30 September 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 3 Feb 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Steven McLean
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Dundee FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
25 Jan Celtic FC H 2–2 D
14 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
11 Jan Dundee FC A 1–0 W
03 Jan Livingston FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#5 Position #3
10 Points 13
7 Played 7
3 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
8 Scored 14
9 Conceded 8
-1 GD +6
1.43 PPG 1.86
43% Win % 57%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G
Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC25% Draw27% Heart of Midlothian FC48%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
75%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC15% Draw47% Heart of Midlothian FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 2
10.6%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 24% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.