St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steven McLean
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Livingston FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | Falkirk FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Motherwell FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb | St. Mirren FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Celtic FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Dundee FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Jan | Livingston FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #1 |
| 30 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 7 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 58 |
| 48 | Conceded | 28 |
| -21 | GD | +30 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 21% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: St. Mirren FC gets underway.
- Full Time. St. Mirren FC beats Heart of Midlothian FC
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Naismith | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 4 |
| Ryan Strain | 3 |
| Steven Naismith | 3 |
| Robert Snodgrass | 2 |
| Joe Shaughnessy | 2 |
| James Wilson | 2 |
| Adam Hammill | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-02-03
St. Mirren FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-01-31
Dundee United FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–2
Celtic FC
D
2026-01-14
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
St. Mirren FC
W
2026-01-11
Dundee FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-01-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Livingston FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.58
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
17%
0 – 2
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 3
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 4
3%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 4
1.9%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
56%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

