Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 3 Feb 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Steven McLean

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Dundee FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
25 Jan Celtic FC H 2–2 D
14 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
11 Jan Dundee FC A 1–0 W
03 Jan Livingston FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#10 Position #1
30 Points 70
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
27 Scored 58
48 Conceded 28
-21 GD +30
0.91 PPG 2.12
21% Win % 64%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.58 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC21% Draw27% Heart of Midlothian FC52%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC10% Draw49% Heart of Midlothian FC41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
17%
0 – 2
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 3
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 4
3%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 9% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 39% 61%
+1 39% 27% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 19% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
56%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.