Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 29 Oct 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
25 Oct Dundee United FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
04 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Dundee FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Falkirk FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
18 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 3–0 W
04 Oct Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
27 Sep Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
13 Sep Rangers FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#10 Position #1
30 Points 70
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
27 Scored 58
48 Conceded 28
-21 GD +30
0.91 PPG 2.12
21% Win % 64%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and St. Mirren FC launch into their encounter with Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC21% Draw26% Heart of Midlothian FC53%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC14% Draw43% Heart of Midlothian FC43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 24% 37%
+1.5 63% 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.