St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | Dundee United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Aberdeen FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Dundee FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Falkirk FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | Celtic FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Hibernian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Falkirk FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #1 |
| 30 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 7 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 58 |
| 48 | Conceded | 28 |
| -21 | GD | +30 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 21% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and St. Mirren FC launch into their encounter with Heart of Midlothian FC.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Naismith | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 4 |
| Ryan Strain | 3 |
| Steven Naismith | 3 |
| Toyosi Olusanya | 2 |
| Jonathan Obika | 2 |
| Robert Snodgrass | 2 |
| Joe Shaughnessy | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-10-29
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2025-10-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
Celtic FC
W
2025-10-18
Kilmarnock FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-10-04
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
Hibernian FC
W
2025-09-27
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Falkirk FC
W
2025-09-13
Rangers FC
0–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
79%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

