Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Euan Anderson
- Assistant 1 David McGeachie
- Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
- Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | St. Mirren FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Dundee FC | A | 6–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jan | Dundee United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | St. Mirren FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #10 |
| 70 | Points | 30 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 9 / 17 |
| 58 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 48 |
| +30 | GD | -21 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 64% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Jamie McCart is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heart of Midlothian FC so far.
- 20' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Lawrence Shankland has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 32 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' St. Mirren FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' Mikael Mandron is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 47' The 25-year-old Richard Taylor has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' Caolan Boyd Munce picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' What an equalizer from James Wilson!
- 61' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Gerald Taylor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' Sensational shot from Calem Nieuwenhof. Heart of Midlothian FC is back in the lead.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Grant. He replaces Sander Kartum on 66 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikael Mandron on 67.
- 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 74' The referee calls foul for Killian Phillips. He receives a card.
- 77' Greg Kiltie is replacing Killian Phillips for the St. Mirren FC side.
- 80' Evan Mooney was booked on 80.
- 82' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Musa Drammeh on, Elton Kabangu off on 82 minutes.
- 87' Caolan Boyd Munce needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 90' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Richard Taylor departs to be replaced by Roland Idowu.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heart of Midlothian FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 6
- 1
- 9
- 30
-
19
Elton Kabangu ↓ Musa Drammeh 82'
- 8
- 29
- 15
-
27
Sander Kartum ↓ Jorge Grant 66'
-
21
James Wilson ↓ Kenneth Vargas 82'
- 82
Bench
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 66'
- 28
- 17
-
16
Blair Spittal ↑ 66'
- 23
-
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 82'
- 35
-
37
Musa Drammeh ↑ 82'
- –
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 24
- 6
- 9
- 7
- 13
- 22
- 15
-
5
Richard Taylor ↓ Roland Idowu 90'
- 2
-
88
Killian Phillips ↓ Greg Kiltie 77'
- 1
Bench
- 42
- 3
-
11
Greg Kiltie ↑ 77'
- 14
- 27
- 20
- 8
- 26
-
12
Roland Idowu ↑ 90'
Coach
Steve Robinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 4 |
| Steven Naismith | 4 |
| Steven Naismith | 3 |
| Ryan Strain | 3 |
| Joe Shaughnessy | 2 |
| James Wilson | 2 |
| Kenneth Vargas | 2 |
| Adam Hammill | 2 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-02-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
St. Mirren FC
W
2025-02-23
St. Johnstone FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-02-16
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–3
Rangers FC
L
2025-02-01
Dundee FC
0–6
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2025-01-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
Kilmarnock FC
W
2025-01-12
Aberdeen FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
82%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
39%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | St. Mirren FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

