Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Mikael Mandron
James Wilson 56' 1–1
Calem Nieuwenhof 63' 2–1
Kenneth Vargas 90+5' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W
23 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W
16 Feb Rangers FC H 1–3 L
01 Feb Dundee FC A 6–0 W
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
01 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Aberdeen FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan Dundee United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#4 Position #2
3 Points 6
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
5 Scored 3
2 Conceded 0
+3 GD +3
1.50 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). St. Mirren FC are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Tynecastle Park will turn into a battlefield for Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' St. Mirren FC have won 283 goals from 290 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lawrence Shankland, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 23 goals in the last 14 games.
  • 25' James Wilson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. St. Mirren FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 37' Goal! Mikael Mandron scores his 39 goal in 7 matches.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Caolan Boyd Munce on 52.
  • 56' A stunning finish from James Wilson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' It’s high time Steve Robinson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' What composure from Calem Nieuwenhof! The Australia international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 66' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Sander Kartum exits the field as Jorge Grant enters on 66.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikael Mandron on 67.
  • 72' Heart of Midlothian FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Killian Phillips on 74.
  • 77' Greg Kiltie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Killian Phillips at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' St. Mirren FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Elton Kabangu as he leaves the pitch. Musa Drammeh steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 87' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Richard Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Roland Idowu to step up.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for St. Mirren FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.06 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC38% Draw27% St. Mirren FC35%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
66%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
62%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC21% Draw50% St. Mirren FC29%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
27%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.