Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Mikael Mandron
James Wilson 56' 1–1
Calem Nieuwenhof 63' 2–1
Kenneth Vargas 90+5' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W
23 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W
16 Feb Rangers FC H 1–3 L
01 Feb Dundee FC A 6–0 W
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
01 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Aberdeen FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan Dundee United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#3 Position #5
13 Points 10
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 8
8 Conceded 9
+6 GD -1
1.86 PPG 1.43
57% Win % 43%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Heart of Midlothian FC gets underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Austria international Michael Steinwender has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Craig Gordon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Mirren FC backline.
  • 37' Mikael Mandron has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' Heart of Midlothian FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Caolan Boyd Munce.
  • 56' Magnificent from James Wilson! That is 7 goals in 312 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 61' James Penrice has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' What a strike from Calem Nieuwenhof! The score is 2-1.
  • 66' Sander Kartum makes way for Jorge Grant at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mikael Mandron.
  • 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' The referee shows St. Mirren FC player a card on 74.
  • 77' The St. Mirren FC bench stirs into life. Killian Phillips is withdrawn and Greg Kiltie gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Evan Mooney. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 82' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Musa Drammeh is hanging Elton Kabangu on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Mark O'Hara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Roland Idowu. He replaces Richard Taylor on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Heart of Midlothian FC 3-1 St. Mirren FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC58% Draw22% St. Mirren FC20%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
80%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
42%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC42% Draw39% St. Mirren FC19%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.