Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Mikael Mandron
James Wilson 56' 1–1
Calem Nieuwenhof 63' 2–1
Kenneth Vargas 90+5' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W
23 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W
16 Feb Rangers FC H 1–3 L
01 Feb Dundee FC A 6–0 W
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
01 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Aberdeen FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan Dundee United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#4 Position #8
20 Points 14
12 Played 13
6 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 7
26 Scored 12
22 Conceded 22
+4 GD -10
1.67 PPG 1.08
50% Win % 31%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). St. Mirren FC are 8th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 6 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G 2 A
Eseosa Sule 2 G 1 A
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC is underway.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Jamie McCart is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for St. Mirren FC tonight.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 319 games and scored 349 goals.
  • 20' named a 4-1-2-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lawrence Shankland suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. St. Mirren FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Mikael Mandron doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' Caolan Boyd Munce has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 56' A goal from the Scotland international James Wilson! He fires home on 56 to make it 1-1!
  • 61' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' GOAL! Calem Nieuwenhof scores on 63. Assisted by Elton Kabangu
  • 66' Jorge Grant is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sander Kartum at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Mikael Mandron argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Heart of Midlothian FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 74' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Killian Phillips gets a card.
  • 77' St. Mirren FC make a change. Killian Phillips trudges off to be replaced by Greg Kiltie on 77 minutes.
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Evan Mooney on 80 minutes.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Musa Drammeh on, Elton Kabangu off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Alexandros Gogic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Roland Idowu is hanging Richard Taylor on the field on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Heart of Midlothian FC 3-1 St. Mirren FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.54 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC61% Draw20% St. Mirren FC19%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
81%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
39%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw36% St. Mirren FC18%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 20% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.