Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 26 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park 18,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Mikael Mandron
James Wilson 56' 1–1
Calem Nieuwenhof 63' 2–1
Kenneth Vargas 90+5' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb St. Mirren FC H 3–1 W
23 Feb St. Johnstone FC A 2–1 W
16 Feb Rangers FC H 1–3 L
01 Feb Dundee FC A 6–0 W
25 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 3–2 W
12 Jan Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
01 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Aberdeen FC A 3–0 W
11 Jan Dundee United FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#1 Position #10
70 Points 30
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
58 Scored 27
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -21
2.12 PPG 0.91
64% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Jamie McCart is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heart of Midlothian FC so far.
  • 20' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Lawrence Shankland has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 32 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' St. Mirren FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 37' Mikael Mandron is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' The 25-year-old Richard Taylor has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' Caolan Boyd Munce picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' What an equalizer from James Wilson!
  • 61' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Gerald Taylor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 63' Sensational shot from Calem Nieuwenhof. Heart of Midlothian FC is back in the lead.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Grant. He replaces Sander Kartum on 66 minute.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikael Mandron on 67.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Killian Phillips. He receives a card.
  • 77' Greg Kiltie is replacing Killian Phillips for the St. Mirren FC side.
  • 80' Evan Mooney was booked on 80.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FCMusa Drammeh on, Elton Kabangu off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Caolan Boyd Munce needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 90' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Richard Taylor departs to be replaced by Roland Idowu.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Heart of Midlothian FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC61% Draw22% St. Mirren FC17%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
82%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
39%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC44% Draw41% St. Mirren FC15%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
35%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.