Saturday , 22 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
3 – 0
Full Time
Júbilo Iwata
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Jordy Croux

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
4
Sagan Tosu FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Júbilo Iwata
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-08 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Júbilo Iwata 2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Júbilo Iwata H 3–0 W
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus A 3–0 W
09 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
Júbilo Iwata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
16 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–4 L
09 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–4 L
01 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Jubilo Iwata.
  • 5' Jubilo Iwata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Shunsuke Nishikubo, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' Cayman Togashi puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 21' Jubilo Iwata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Marcelo Ryan makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Naoyuki Iwata will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Hiroki Yamada has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Matheus Peixoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Takahata on 46 minute.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kotaro Fujikawa is hanging Shun Nakamura on the field on 56 minute.
  • 59' Marcelo Ryan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 62' Katsunori Ueebisu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 62 minute.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Jubilo Iwata team. Hiroto Uemura is replaced by Shunsuke Nishikubo on 64 minute.
  • 66' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Il-kyu Park departs to be replaced by Masahiro Okamoto.
  • 67' Naoyuki Fujita gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Wataru Harada and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Rikiya Uehara has done his job and it is now time for Rei Hirakawa to step up.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 83' Keisuke Sakaiya gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Makito Ito has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcelo Ryan 3
Naoki Kanuma 3
Isaac Cuenca 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Fabian Gonzalez 2
Yuki Kakita 1
Takuya Matsuura 1
Yoichi Naganuma 1

Head to Head

2024-12-08 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Júbilo Iwata 2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-12-08 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-11-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-10-19 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-12-08 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-11-30 Júbilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tōkyō W 2024-11-16 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka L 2024-11-01 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-10-19 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Júbilo Iwata W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC57% Draw24% Júbilo Iwata19%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw45% Júbilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.