Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Júbilo Iwata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 3–4 | L |
| 09 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–4 | L |
| 01 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata.
- 5' Jubilo Iwata is showing some good football. However, Jubilo Iwata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Shunsuke Nishikubo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Jubilo Iwata tonight.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 16' What a moment for Cayman Togashi! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' A moment of madness from Jordy Croux on 21 minutes earns him a card. Jubilo Iwata will be frustrated.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan scores on 30. Assisted by Hikaru Nakahara
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' Jubilo Iwata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Matheus Peixoto gets the nod from Jubilo Iwata. He replaces Keita Takahata and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Kotaro Fujikawa is replacing Shun Nakamura for the Jubilo Iwata side.
- 59' Marcelo Ryan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
- 62' The whistle greets Yusuke Maruhashi as he departs to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
- 64' A tactical swap from Jubilo Iwata — Shunsuke Nishikubo on, Hiroto Uemura off on 64 minutes.
- 66' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Il-kyu Park by Masahiro Okamoto on 66 minute.
- 67' Wataru Harada makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 71' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Rikiya Uehara trudges off to be replaced by Rei Hirakawa on 71 minutes.
- 76' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Jubilo Iwata's shape.
- 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 83' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Keisuke Sakaiya comes on to replace Hikaru Nakahara.
- 88' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
- 77
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Tojiro Kubo 62'
- 4
-
71
Il-kyu Park ↓ Masahiro Okamoto 66'
- 8
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 67'
- 33
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 67'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 62'
- 70
-
31
Masahiro Okamoto ↑ 66'
- 2
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 83'
-
24
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 62'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Júbilo Iwata Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 1
- 11
- 4
-
7
Rikiya Uehara ↓ Rei Hirakawa 71'
- 14
- 18
- 6
-
25
Shun Nakamura ↓ Kotaro Fujikawa 56'
- 36
- 50
Bench
-
99
Matheus Peixoto ↑ 46'
-
37
Rei Hirakawa ↑ 71'
- 21
-
13
Kotaro Fujikawa ↑ 56'
-
10
Hiroki Yamada ↑ 46'
- 15
-
26
Shunsuke Nishikubo ↑ 64'
Coach
Akinobu Yokouchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoki Kanuma | 3 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 |
| Fabian Gonzalez | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 1 |
| Takuya Matsuura | 1 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Júbilo Iwata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.