Saturday , 22 August 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Júbilo Iwata
0 – 3
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 11 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 27' Seiji Kimura

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
4
Júbilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Júbilo Iwata

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
27 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 2–0 W
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
13 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Júbilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Jubilo Iwata welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at Yamaha Stadium.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' The 27-year-old Taichi Kikuchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' Marcelo Ryan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Seiji Kimura gets a card.
  • 32' It’s high time Akinobu Yokouchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rikiya Uehara made 278 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Magnificent from Naoki Kanuma! That is 4 goals in 278 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' Yosuke Furukawa is replacing Rei Hirakawa for the Jubilo Iwata side.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Marcelo Ryan makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Masaya Matsumoto as he leaves the pitch. Bruno Jose steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
  • 65' Jubilo Iwata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 67' Yoichi Naganuma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 67 minute.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Masatoshi Ishida is replaced by Kotaro Fujikawa.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' The deadlock is broken! Yoichi Naganuma gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Hiroto Uemura trudges off to be replaced by Kensuke Fujiwara on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 87' Kosuke Yamazaki gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Katsunori Ueebisu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Kohei Tezuka trudges off to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita on 88 minutes.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Naoki Kanuma 3
Marcelo Ryan 3
Isaac Cuenca 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Fabian Gonzalez 2
Takuya Matsuura 1
Yoichi Naganuma 1
Takuya Matsuura 1

Head to Head

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Júbilo Iwata

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-06 Tōkyō Verdy 3–2 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-05-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Júbilo Iwata D 2024-04-27 Júbilo Iwata 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-04-20 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Júbilo Iwata D 2024-04-13 Júbilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tōkyō Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata30% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC41%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Júbilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata22% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.