Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Júbilo Iwata
0 – 3
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 11 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 27' Seiji Kimura

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
4
Júbilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Júbilo Iwata

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
27 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 2–0 W
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
13 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Júbilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Yamaha Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Jubilo Iwata in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
  • 10' Jubilo Iwata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Naoki Kanuma made 278 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Katsunori Ueebisu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 105 appearances.
  • 27' It’s gonna be a card for Seiji Kimura.
  • 32' Jubilo Iwata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taichi Kikuchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 46' GOAL! Naoki Kanuma scores on 45. Assisted by Ayumu Yokoyama
  • 46' A tactical swap from Jubilo Iwata — Yosuke Furukawa on, Rei Hirakawa off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Yuya Tsuboi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 30 goal in 336 matches.
  • 60' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Bruno Jose comes on to replace Masaya Matsumoto.
  • 65' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yusuke Maruhashi exits the field as Yoichi Naganuma enters on 67.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Masatoshi Ishida as he leaves the pitch. Kotaro Fujikawa steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
  • 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 77' The deadlock is broken! Yoichi Naganuma gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Hiroto Uemura trudges off to be replaced by Kensuke Fujiwara on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Kosuke Yamazaki comes on to replace Katsunori Ueebisu.
  • 88' Naoyuki Fujita gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Kohei Tezuka and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Naoki Kanuma 3
Marcelo Ryan 3
Isaac Cuenca 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Fabian Gonzalez 2
Takuya Matsuura 1
Yoichi Naganuma 1
Takuya Matsuura 1

Head to Head

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Júbilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Júbilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Júbilo Iwata

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-06 Tōkyō Verdy 3–2 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-05-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Júbilo Iwata D 2024-04-27 Júbilo Iwata 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-04-20 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Júbilo Iwata D 2024-04-13 Júbilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tōkyō Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata30% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC41%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Júbilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata22% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.