Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuta Imazu, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' GOAL! Daichi Suzuki scores on 20. Assisted by Wataru Harada
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' Daiki Sugioka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 46' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Se-hun Oh is hanging Mitchell Duke on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Sang-ho Na is replaced by Shota Fujio on 56 minute.
- 61' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Akito Fukuta departs to be replaced by Ryohei Watanabe.
- 66' What a strike from Ibrahim Dresevic! The score is 1-1.
- 71' Shota Fujio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 72' The whistle greets Cayman Togashi as he departs to be replaced by Jaja Silva.
- 73' Shota Fujio is having his name booked by the referee on 73.
- 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 79' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Ryohei Shirasaki departs to be replaced by Keiya Sento.
- 81' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Daichi Suzuki is replaced by Tsubasa Terayama.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Keisuke Sakaiya. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara on 82 minute.
- 84' What a strike from Tsubasa Terayama! The score is 2-1.
- 89' The whistle greets Min-Gyu Jang as he departs to be replaced by Junya Suzuki.
- With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 47
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 82'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 72'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 79'
- 25
- 7
- 5
- 22
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 56'
- 26
-
14
Min-Gyu Jang ↓ Junya Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 79'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 56'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
33
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 46'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-10-19
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-10-05
FC Machida Zelvia
1–4
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.