Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' A stunning finish from Daichi Suzuki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' Junya Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 437 appearances.
- 30' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Mitchell Duke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Seiji Kimura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Akito Fukuta, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 46' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Mitchell Duke departs to be replaced by Se-hun Oh.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shota Fujio is hanging Sang-ho Na on the field on 56 minute.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Ryohei Watanabe. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 61 minute.
- 66' What composure from Ibrahim Dresevic! The Kosovo international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Go Kuroda might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Cayman Togashi by Jaja Silva on 72 minute.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Shota Fujio.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kazuki Fujimoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Ryohei Shirasaki by Keiya Sento on 79 minute.
- 81' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tsubasa Terayama is hanging Daichi Suzuki on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Keisuke Sakaiya on, Hikaru Nakahara off on 82 minutes.
- 84' What a moment for Tsubasa Terayama! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 89' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Junya Suzuki on, Min-Gyu Jang off on 89 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 47
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 82'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 72'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 79'
- 25
- 7
- 5
- 22
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 56'
- 26
-
14
Min-Gyu Jang ↓ Junya Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 79'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 56'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
33
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 46'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-10-19
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-10-05
FC Machida Zelvia
1–4
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.