Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Machida Zelvia gets underway.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Kosei Tani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 20' What a moment for Daichi Suzuki! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 25' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' Junya Suzuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 46' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 46 minute. Mitchell Duke leaves to be changed by Se-hun Oh.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hiroki Mochizuki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 56' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Shota Fujio on, Sang-ho Na off on 56 minutes.
- 61' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Akito Fukuta is replaced by Ryohei Watanabe.
- 66' Ibrahim Dresevic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 72' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Cayman Togashi is withdrawn and Jaja Silva gets his opportunity.
- 73' FC Machida Zelvia player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Ryohei Shirasaki is replaced by Keiya Sento.
- 81' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Daichi Suzuki has done his job and it is now time for Tsubasa Terayama to step up.
- 82' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Hikaru Nakahara trudges off to be replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya on 82 minutes.
- 84' Tsubasa Terayama puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
- 89' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Min-Gyu Jang is replaced by Junya Suzuki.
- With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 47
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 82'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 72'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 79'
- 25
- 7
- 5
- 22
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 56'
- 26
-
14
Min-Gyu Jang ↓ Junya Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 79'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 56'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
33
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 46'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-10-19
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-10-05
FC Machida Zelvia
1–4
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.