Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Machida Zelvia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Daichi Suzuki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 46 minute. Mitchell Duke leaves to be changed by Se-hun Oh.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Shota Fujio is replacing Sang-ho Na for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Akito Fukuta has done his job and it is now time for Ryohei Watanabe to step up.
- 66' Goal! Ibrahim Dresevic scores his 7 goal in 379 matches.
- 71' Kento Nishiya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Jaja Silva on, Cayman Togashi off on 72 minutes.
- 73' Shota Fujio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 78' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Ryohei Shirasaki departs to be replaced by Keiya Sento.
- 81' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Tsubasa Terayama comes on to replace Daichi Suzuki.
- 82' The whistle greets Hikaru Nakahara as he departs to be replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya.
- 84' Tsubasa Terayama puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
- 89' Junya Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Min-Gyu Jang at the 89 minute mark.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Machida Zelvia.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 72'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 47
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 72'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 81'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 82'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 72'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Keiya Sento 79'
- 25
- 7
- 5
- 22
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Se-hun Oh 46'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 56'
- 26
-
14
Min-Gyu Jang ↓ Junya Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 79'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 56'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
33
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 46'
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 46'
- 42
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-10-19
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-10-05
FC Machida Zelvia
1–4
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-09-14
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.