Monday , 12 October 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
16 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 3–4 L
09 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–4 L
01 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
06 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Júbilo Iwata A 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L
03 Nov Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
18 Oct Vissel Kobe A 2–0 W
05 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 3–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
6/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 6 G 3 A
Soma Anzai 4 G
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Tōkyō kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Jubilo Iwata and FC Tōkyō are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' It’s high time Peter Cklamovski made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ricardo Graca, as he is very good at scoring at Yamaha Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keita Takahata made 105 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yasuki Kimoto on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The whistle greets Diego Oliveira as he departs to be replaced by Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa.
  • 51' The 31-year-old Masaya Matsumoto has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Soma Anzai — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' The whistle greets Shun Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Rikiya Uehara.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 63' Hiroki Yamada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rei Hirakawa on 63 minute.
  • 66' Ryotaro Araki makes way for Kota Tawaratsumida at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
  • 71' Japan international Teppei Oka has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Takahiro Ko.
  • 77' Yasuki Kimoto is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 79' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Teruhito Nakagawa by Teppei Oka on 79 minute.
  • 80' Matheus Peixoto does the damage! The net is bulging and Jubilo Iwata surge ahead!
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Yamaha Stadium. Jubilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 89' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hiroki Yamada makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 90' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Hotaka Nakamura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Full Time. Jubilo Iwata beats FC Tōkyō

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.5 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or FC Tokyo 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata42% Draw27% FC Tokyo31%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
68%
Draw or FC Tokyo
58%
Júbilo Iwata or FC Tokyo
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata29% Draw45% FC Tokyo26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.