Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 3
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Yusuke Maruhashi

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
09 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–0 D
23 Oct Gamba Osaka A 2–3 L
19 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
04 Oct Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
28 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus A 3–0 W
09 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Toyota Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 8' GOAL! Vykintas Slivka scores on 8. Assisted by Akito Fukuta
  • 10' Goal! Hikaru Nakahara scores his 7 goal in 369 matches.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 335 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Yusuke Maruhashi gets a card.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Taichi Kikuchi is replacing Takuya Uchida for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Fumiya Kitajima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 61 minute.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Ryosuke Yamanaka.
  • 67' Goal! Hikaru Nakahara scores his 7 goal in 369 matches.
  • 69' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Keisuke Sakaiya. He replaces Tsubasa Terayama on 70 minute.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
  • 80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kensuke Nagai, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 8 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 84' Naoyuki Fujita is replacing Akito Fukuta for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 85' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Keiya Shiihashi by Haruki Yoshida on 85 minute.
  • 90' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Ryuji Izumi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2

Head to Head

2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-11-09 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2024-10-23 Gamba Osaka 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-10-19 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-10-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-11-30 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-11-09 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-10-19 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus29% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC40%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus19% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.