Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 8' Vykintas Slivka makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- 10' Hikaru Nakahara adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Takuya Uchida needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 26' The referee calls foul for Yusuke Maruhashi. He receives a card.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 41' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Taichi Kikuchi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuya Uchida on 46 minute.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' The crowd applauds Yusuke Maruhashi as he leaves the pitch. Fumiya Kitajima steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 62' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Shuhei Tokumoto by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 62 minute.
- 67' The Japan midfielder Hikaru Nakahara breaks the deadlock on 67 minutes. 0-3!
- 69' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Kasper Junker on 69 minutes.
- 70' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Tsubasa Terayama by Keisuke Sakaiya on 70 minute.
- 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuta Imazu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 84 minute.
- 85' Keiya Shiihashi makes way for Haruki Yoshida at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 0-3 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 46'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
- 1
- 14
- 15
- 7
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Patric 46'
- 24
- 55
- 20
Bench
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 62'
-
10
Patric ↑ 46'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 84'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 46'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 85'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 84'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 16
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Jaja Silva 84'
- 37
- 25
Bench
- 11
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 84'
- 31
-
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 84'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 70'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.