Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tokyo Verdy A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
30 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
18 Oct Albirex Niigata H 0–0 D
05 Oct Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
28 Sep FC Tokyo H 1–3 L
22 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–6 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos
Kaina Tanimura 6 G 1 A
Miidera Shin 2 G
Taisei Inoue 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Yokohama F.Marinos xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw29% Yokohama F.Marinos32%
Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw47% Yokohama F.Marinos24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.