Saturday , 15 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.MarinosJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tokyo Verdy A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
30 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
18 Oct Albirex Niigata H 0–0 D
05 Oct Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
28 Sep FC Tokyo H 1–3 L
22 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–6 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Yokohama F·Marinos.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' Yokohama F.Marinos player sees a card in front of him.
  • 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kento Nishiya on 20 minutes.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Yokohama F·Marinos needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' Magnificent from Wataru Harada! That is 7 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anderson Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 33' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Ryuta Koike is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Yokohama F·Marinos so far.
  • 47' What a strike from Takuma Nishimura! The score is 1-1.
  • 52' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama F·Marinos backline.
  • 55' Keisuke Sakaiya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daichi Suzuki at the 55 minute mark.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Kenta Inoue. He replaces Elber on 59 minute.
  • 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Hutchinson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Yokohama F.MarinosJun Amano on, Riku Yamane off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Yokohama F·Marinos started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 78' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Cayman Togashi trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 78 minutes.
  • 80' Magnificent from Anderson Lopes! That is 96 goals in 381 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' The whistle greets Kento Nishiya as he departs to be replaced by Tsubasa Terayama.
  • 87' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Takuma Nishimura is withdrawn and Asahi Uenaka gets his opportunity.
  • The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-2 Yokohama F·Marinos. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Yokohama F.Marinos xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw29% Yokohama F.Marinos32%
Actual: Yokohama F.Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw47% Yokohama F.Marinos24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Yokohama F.Marinos covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.