Saturday , 22 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Jordy Croux

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo IwataJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Júbilo Iwata H 3–0 W
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus A 3–0 W
09 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
16 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–4 L
09 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–4 L
01 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Jubilo Iwata.
  • 5' Jubilo Iwata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Shunsuke Nishikubo, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' Cayman Togashi puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 21' Jubilo Iwata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Marcelo Ryan makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Naoyuki Iwata will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Hiroki Yamada has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Matheus Peixoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Takahata on 46 minute.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kotaro Fujikawa is hanging Shun Nakamura on the field on 56 minute.
  • 59' Marcelo Ryan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 62' Katsunori Ueebisu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 62 minute.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Jubilo Iwata team. Hiroto Uemura is replaced by Shunsuke Nishikubo on 64 minute.
  • 66' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Il-kyu Park departs to be replaced by Masahiro Okamoto.
  • 67' Naoyuki Fujita gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Wataru Harada and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Rikiya Uehara has done his job and it is now time for Rei Hirakawa to step up.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 83' Keisuke Sakaiya gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Makito Ito has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC57% Draw24% Júbilo Iwata19%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw45% Júbilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.