Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sun 7 Aug 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
31 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–3 D
16 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D
10 Jul Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
02 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
26 Jun FC Tokyo H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–2 L
30 Jul Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W
17 Jul FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
09 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
06 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
02 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Jubilo Iwata.
  • 3' Controversy at the stadium! Yoichi Naganuma argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 4' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yoichi Naganuma.
  • 9' Daiki Ogawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Jubilo Iwata tonight.
  • 14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuji Kajikawa, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Akito Fukuta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 22' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Riku Morioka trudges off to be replaced by Ko Matsubara on 22 minutes.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 42' Yuki Otsu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 307 appearances.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Taisei Miyashiro makes it 1-0.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Jubilo Iwata team. Atsushi Kurokawa is replaced by Fabian Gonzalez on 46 minute.
  • 51' Jubilo Iwata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Jubilo Iwata that had 278 games and scored 151 goals.
  • 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' Yasuhito Endo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Jubilo Iwata so far.
  • 67' The whistle greets Ryo Germain as he departs to be replaced by Kenyu Sugimoto.
  • 69' Yoichi Naganuma makes way for Yuki Horigome at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 74' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Jubilo Iwata's shape.
  • 79' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 80' The Jubilo Iwata manager makes a substitution. Rikiya Uehara departs to be replaced by Yuki Otsu.
  • 81' Yuki Otsu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rikiya Uehara at the 81 minute mark.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Taisei Miyashiro as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Kakita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 85' Magnificent from Yuki Kakita! That is 27 goals in 37 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' Kei Koizumi makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 2-0 the final result. Jubilo Iwata will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC53% Draw27% Júbilo Iwata20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
47%
Sagan Tosu FC or Júbilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw49% Júbilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.