Júbilo Iwata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Júbilo Iwata

3 – 4

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 06:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ryo Germain 41' Y

Ryo Watanabe 54' Y

Y 54' Ryoya Yamashita

Ricardo Graca 60' Y

Kaito Suzuki 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Júbilo Iwata 14 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Júbilo Iwata 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-03-12 Júbilo Iwata 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2019-08-18 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Júbilo Iwata

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–4	L
01 Nov	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
19 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Júbilo Iwata	A	4–3	W
23 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–2	W
18 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	2–1	W
02 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
28 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Júbilo Iwata welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at Yamaha Stadium.
5' Júbilo Iwata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eiji Kawashima suffering a number of foals already.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
23' Ryo Watanabe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Jubilo Iwata are in front.
27' Riku Handa makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Gamba Osaka are in front.
32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Júbilo Iwata and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
41' Ryo Germain has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
46' Hiroto Uemura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto on 46 minute.
51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Júbilo Iwata and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
54' Ryoya Yamashita doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
54' Ryo Watanabe picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
60' The referee calls foul for Ricardo Graca. He receives a card.
61' Hiroki Yamada gets the nod from Jubilo Iwata. He replaces Ryo Watanabe and will look to change the dynamic.
62' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Takashi Usami makes no mistake. 0-4!
67' It looks like no one’s ball. Júbilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
71' Makito Ito makes way for Matheus Peixoto at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
72' The Jubilo Iwata manager makes a substitution. Ko Matsubara departs to be replaced by Keita Takahata.
77' Yuya Fukuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shu Kurata at the 77 minute mark.
82' The Jubilo Iwata bench stirs into life. Hassan Hilo is withdrawn and Kaito Suzuki gets his opportunity.
83' The referee has no hesitation. Kaito Suzuki is booked for Jubilo Iwata — card on 83.
87' The Japan Rikiya Uehara breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 0-5!
88' Gamba Osaka make a change. Tokuma Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Rin Mito on 88 minutes.
90' Takeru Kishimoto is replacing Isa Sakamoto for the Gamba Osaka side.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 88'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
47
Juan Alano ↑ 77'
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 77'
33
Shinya Nakano
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
27
Rin Mito ↑ 88'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hwang Uijo	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Uijo	2
Kaito Suzuki	1
Kotaro Omori	1
Ryo Watanabe	1
Ryotaro Meshino	1
Patric	1

Head to Head

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka L 2024-11-01 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-10-19 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Júbilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka W 2024-10-23 Gamba Osaka 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-10-18 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-10-05 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-10-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-09-28 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Tōkyō Verdy D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Júbilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or Gamba Osaka 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata32% Draw26% Gamba Osaka42%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw

58%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

68%

Júbilo Iwata or Gamba Osaka

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Júbilo Iwata26% Draw43% Gamba Osaka31%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

0 – 2

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap	Júbilo Iwata covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.