FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Ajinomoto Stadium as FC Tokyo face off against Sagan Tosu FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Ryotaro Araki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kota Tawaratsumida, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hikaru Nakahara suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' FC Tokyo is showing some good football. However, FC Tokyo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' FC Tokyo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 54' Wataru Harada picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Masato Morishige is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Yasuki Kimoto. He receives a card.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuki Horigome has done his job and it is now time for Ryohei Watanabe to step up.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 68' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Kota Tawaratsumida exits the field as Keita Endo enters on 68.
- 73' GOAL! Vykintas Slivka scores on 73.
- 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 444 games and scored 409 goals.
- 82' What a strike from Takahiro Ko! The score is 1-1.
- 84' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Akito Fukuta exits the field as Daichi Suzuki enters on 84.
- 87' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 87 minute. Soma Anzai leaves to be changed by Leon Nozawa.
- 90' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Hikaru Nakahara is withdrawn and Yuta Imazu gets his opportunity.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 10
- 9
- 8
- 4
- 30
- 41
- 71
- 33
- 38
Bench
- 40
- 22
- 13
- 2
- 11
- 14
- 28
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Daichi Suzuki 84'
- 77
- 99
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuta Imazu 90'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 42
- 2
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Cayman Togashi 61'
- 20
- 33
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 61'
- 14
-
4
Yuta Imazu ↑ 90'
- 31
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 84'
-
47
Daichi Suzuki ↑ 84'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 1 |
| Vykintas Slivka | 1 |
| Jael | 1 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
53%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.