Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Cerezo Osaka FC host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 8' Kohei Tezuka doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
- 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 23' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
- 33' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 38' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yoichi Naganuma is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 48' Lucas Fernandes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
- 59' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kohei Tezuka is withdrawn and Akito Fukuta gets his opportunity.
- 64' Naoyuki Fujita, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 71' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Hikaru Nakahara on, Ayumu Yokoyama off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 84' Ryo Watanabe gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Lucas Fernandes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' The whistle greets Leo Ceara as he departs to be replaced by Justin Hubner.
- Full Time. Cerezo Osaka FC beats Sagan Tosu FC
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Ryo Watanabe 84'
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Justin Hubner 90'
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 71'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 84'
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Masaya Shibayama 71'
- 21
- 16
Bench
- 8
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 71'
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 84'
- 1
-
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 84'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 71'
-
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 59'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Cayman Togashi 71'
- 16
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Yuki Horigome 59'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 13
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 71'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 71'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 59'
- 20
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

