Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 8' What a strike from Kohei Tezuka! The score is 0-1.
- 13' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 23' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 48' Satoki Uejo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
- 59' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
- 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Ayumu Yokoyama by Hikaru Nakahara on 71 minute.
- 76' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Watanabe. He replaces Lucas Fernandes on 84 minute.
- 89' Naoyuki Fujita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' Justin Hubner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leo Ceara on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Ryo Watanabe 84'
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Justin Hubner 90'
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 71'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 84'
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Masaya Shibayama 71'
- 21
- 16
Bench
- 8
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 71'
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 84'
- 1
-
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 84'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 71'
-
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 59'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Cayman Togashi 71'
- 16
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Yuki Horigome 59'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 13
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 71'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 71'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 59'
- 20
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

