Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 26 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jun Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
22 Jun Jubilo Iwata A 1–1 D
15 Jun Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
01 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
26 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
18 May Avispa Fukuoka A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L
31 May FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 8' What a strike from Kohei Tezuka! The score is 0-1.
  • 13' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 23' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' Satoki Uejo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
  • 59' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Ayumu Yokoyama by Hikaru Nakahara on 71 minute.
  • 76' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Watanabe. He replaces Lucas Fernandes on 84 minute.
  • 89' Naoyuki Fujita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Justin Hubner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leo Ceara on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC34% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC15%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.