Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium 25,865 HT 45' · FT 45'

Musashi Suzuki 51' 1–0

1–1 64' Ryonosuke Kabayama

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
08 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–0	W
01 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
18 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–5	L
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Gamba Osaka is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taichi Kikuchi made 279 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Akito Fukuta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 279 appearances.
16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Musashi Suzuki makes it 1-0.
21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
26' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
36' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kentaro Moriya suffering a number of foals already.
51' Musashi Suzuki makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Gamba Osaka are in front.
56' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuji Ono is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
61' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Ryonosuke Kabayama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
64' Ryonosuke Kabayama does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
69' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
72' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Musashi Suzuki by Issam Jebali on 72 minute.
77' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a 4-1-2-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
78' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Hiroto Yamami exits the field as Ryotaro Meshino enters on 78.
79' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Hiroto Yamami is replaced by Ryotaro Meshino.
84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
87' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Toshio Shimakawa comes on to replace Wataru Harada.
88' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 88 minute. Fuchi Honda leaves to be changed by Kentaro Moriya.
90' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 90 minute. Keisuke Kurokawa leaves to be changed by Yusei Egawa.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 72'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
10
Shu Kurata
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 78'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 90'
34
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 72'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 56'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 61'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 61'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Kentaro Moriya 88'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 87'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 88'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 87'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 61'
30
Masaya Tashiro
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Yohei Toyoda	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2022-10-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2022-10-01 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka45% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

75%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

55%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka29% Draw52% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

3 – 0

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.