Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium 25,865 HT 45' · FT 45'

Musashi Suzuki 51' 1–0

1–1 64' Ryonosuke Kabayama

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
08 Oct	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	2–0	W
01 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
18 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–5	L
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Suita City Football Stadium that hosts another battle between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
16' GOAL! Musashi Suzuki fires home to make it 1-0!
21' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
41' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
51' Magnificent from Musashi Suzuki! That is 56 goals in 188 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
56' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cayman Togashi is hanging Yuji Ono on the field on 56 minute.
61' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yuto Iwasaki has done his job and it is now time for Ryonosuke Kabayama to step up.
64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryonosuke Kabayama makes no mistake. 2-1!
69' Cayman Togashi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
72' Issam Jebali is replacing Musashi Suzuki for the Gamba Osaka side.
77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
78' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Ryotaro Meshino comes on to replace Hiroto Yamami.
79' Ryotaro Meshino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Yamami on 79 minute.
84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
87' The supporters are chanting for Toshio Shimakawa. He replaces Wataru Harada on 87 minute.
88' Kentaro Moriya gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Fuchi Honda and will look to change the dynamic.
90' Keisuke Kurokawa makes way for Yusei Egawa at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 72'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
10
Shu Kurata
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 78'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 90'
34
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 72'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 56'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 61'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 61'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Kentaro Moriya 88'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 87'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 88'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 87'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 61'
30
Masaya Tashiro
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Hiroto Yamami	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W 2022-10-08 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2022-10-01 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka45% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

75%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

55%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka29% Draw52% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

3 – 0

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.