Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium 25,865 HT 45' · FT 45'

Musashi Suzuki 51' 1–0

1–1 64' Ryonosuke Kabayama

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

12 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
08 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–0	W
01 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
18 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–5	L
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Gamba Osaka host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
5' Cayman Togashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
10' Yuji Ono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Kurokawa suffering a number of foals already.
16' A goal from the Japan international Musashi Suzuki! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-0!
21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
26' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Il-kyu Park has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
31' Neta Lavi, a Israel , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
36' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
41' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
46' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
51' Musashi Suzuki adds to his 0 season tally! Gamba Osaka lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
56' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuji Ono by Cayman Togashi on 56 minute.
61' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
64' A goal from the Japan international Ryonosuke Kabayama! He fires home on 64 to make it 2-1!
69' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
72' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Musashi Suzuki is withdrawn and Issam Jebali gets his opportunity.
77' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
78' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Hiroto Yamami exits the field as Ryotaro Meshino enters on 78.
79' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Hiroto Yamami has done his job and it is now time for Ryotaro Meshino to step up.
84' Kentaro Moriya has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 439 appearances.
87' The supporters are chanting for Toshio Shimakawa. He replaces Wataru Harada on 87 minute.
88' Kentaro Moriya is replacing Fuchi Honda for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
90' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Keisuke Kurokawa is replaced by Yusei Egawa.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 72'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
10
Shu Kurata
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 78'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 90'
34
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 72'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 56'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 61'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 61'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Kentaro Moriya 88'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 87'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 88'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 87'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 61'
30
Masaya Tashiro
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Fernando Torres	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Jubilo Iwata W 2022-10-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2022-10-01 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka45% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

75%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

55%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka29% Draw52% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

3 – 0

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.