Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Gamba Osaka

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium 25,865 HT 45' · FT 45'

Musashi Suzuki 51' 1–0

1–1 64' Ryonosuke Kabayama

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koichiro Fukushima
Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
05 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
08 Oct	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	2–0	W
01 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
18 Feb	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–5	L
05 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
29 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–3	L
08 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 407 games and scored 381 goals.
16' A stunning finish from Musashi Suzuki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
21' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
26' The 36-year-old Il-kyu Park has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
31' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosuke Yamazaki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
41' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. So Kawahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
51' What a strike from Musashi Suzuki! The score is 2-0.
56' Cayman Togashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuji Ono at the 56 minute mark.
61' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
64' The Japan Ryonosuke Kabayama breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 2-1!
69' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a 4-1-2-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
72' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Musashi Suzuki exits the field as Issam Jebali enters on 72.
77' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
78' Ryotaro Meshino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Yamami on 78 minute.
79' Ryotaro Meshino is replacing Hiroto Yamami for the Gamba Osaka side.
84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
87' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Wataru Harada trudges off to be replaced by Toshio Shimakawa on 87 minutes.
88' Kentaro Moriya is replacing Fuchi Honda for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
90' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Yusei Egawa on, Keisuke Kurokawa off on 90 minutes.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 72'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
10
Shu Kurata
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 78'
13
Ryu Takao ↑ 90'
34
Yusei Egawa ↑ 90'
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↑ 72'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 56'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 61'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 61'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Kentaro Moriya 88'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 87'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 88'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 87'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 61'
30
Masaya Tashiro
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 61'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Hiroto Yamami	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2022-11-05 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2022-10-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–2 Gamba Osaka W 2022-10-01 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.27 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka45% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

75%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

55%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka29% Draw52% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

3 – 0

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.