Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Gamba Osaka

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 14 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 7' Kosuke Yamazaki

Y 32' Cayman Togashi

R 56' Keisuke Sakaiya

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
10 Apr	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–2	L
06 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–1	L
03 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–0	D
30 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
16 Mar	Jubilo Iwata	H	2–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
07 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–3	L
03 Apr	Vissel Kobe	H	0–0	D
30 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	A	1–3	L
16 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–2	L
09 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/2

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Gamba Osaka is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
5' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
7' That looks like a foul for a card for Kosuke Yamazaki.
12' Marcelo Ryan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
32' It’s gonna be a card for Cayman Togashi.
37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryonosuke Kabayama made 302 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
41' Goal! Yoichi Naganuma scores his 16 goal in 335 matches.
46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Genta Miura suffering a number of foals already.
50' What a strike from Isa Sakamoto! The score is 1-1.
55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
56' The referee calls foul for Keisuke Sakaiya. He receives a card.
59' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuki Horigome by Taichi Kikuchi on 59 minute.
61' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Shu Kurata is replaced by Shoji Toyama on 61 minute.
66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
73' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Marcelo Ryan is replaced by Akito Fukuta.
75' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 75 minute. Shota Fukuoka leaves to be changed by Takeru Kishimoto.
80' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
81' Issam Jebali is replacing Isa Sakamoto for the Gamba Osaka side.
83' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
Another three points for Gamba Osaka.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 81'
8
Ryotaro Meshino
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 81'
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 61'
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 75'
31
Aolin Zhang
27
Rin Mito

Coach Dani Poyatos

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Fernando Torres	1

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-04-10 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-03 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Jubilo Iwata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka49% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC24%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

76%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

51%

Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.