Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Gamba Osaka
2 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sun 14 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 7' Kosuke Yamazaki
Y 32' Cayman Togashi
R 56' Keisuke Sakaiya

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

9
3
4
Gamba Osaka 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
10 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
06 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
03 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–0 D
30 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
16 Mar Júbilo Iwata H 2–1 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
03 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gamba Osaka launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kohei Tezuka made 418 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kosuke Yamazaki.
  • 12' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 17' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' Tae-hyeon Kim has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 27' Isa Sakamoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 32' The referee calls foul for Cayman Togashi. He receives a card.
  • 37' Shota Fukuoka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' What composure from Yoichi Naganuma! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' Isa Sakamoto doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' That is a card for Sagan Tosu FC. Keisuke Sakaiya will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 59 minute.
  • 61' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 61 minute. Shu Kurata leaves to be changed by Shoji Toyama.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 410 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 73' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 73 minute. Marcelo Ryan leaves to be changed by Akito Fukuta.
  • 75' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Shota Fukuoka by Takeru Kishimoto on 75 minute.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Issam Jebali comes on to replace Isa Sakamoto.
  • 83' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryonosuke Kabayama is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dani Poyatos

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuji Ono 3
Kazuma Watanabe 3
Isa Sakamoto 2
Takashi Usami 2
Hwang Seokho 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Yoichi Naganuma 2
Ryunosuke Sagara 1

Head to Head

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-04-10 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-04-03 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Júbilo Iwata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Vissel Kobe D 2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka49% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC24%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Gamba Osaka or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.