Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 May | FC Tokyo | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 28 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 61 | Scored | 42 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Suita City Football Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Gamba Osaka and FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 9' What composure from Welton! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 14' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shunta Araki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
- 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 407 games and scored 381 goals.
- 24' Keisuke Kurokawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Riku Handa on 31 minutes.
- 33' Riku Handa is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 36' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Ryoya Yamashita has done his job and it is now time for Riku Matsuda to step up.
- 41' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Shunta Araki on 43 minutes.
- 47' GOAL! Mitchell Duke scores on 45.
- 49' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Zento Uno trudges off to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 49 minutes.
- 52' It’s gonna be a card for Hokuto Shimoda.
- 57' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Goal! Shota Fujio scores his 13 goal in 373 matches.
- 63' Mitchell Duke makes way for Kanji Kuwayama at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
- 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' A goal from the Japan international Keiya Sento! He fires home on 69 to make it 1-3!
- 72' Gamba Osaka make a change. Issam Jebali trudges off to be replaced by Isa Sakamoto on 72 minutes.
- 73' The crowd applauds Takashi Usami as he leaves the pitch. Juan Alano steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 75' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Kai Shibato comes on to replace Erik.
- 80' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kotaro Hayashi, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 85' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Tokuma Suzuki is replaced by Neta Lavi.
- 88' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Keiya Sento is replaced by Junya Suzuki.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Junya Suzuki.
- With this win, FC Machida Zelvia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Juan Alano 73'
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Isa Sakamoto 72'
- 20
- 24
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Riku Matsuda 36'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Neta Lavi 85'
- 3
- 23
- 97
Bench
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 73'
-
46
Riku Matsuda ↑ 36'
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 85'
- 25
- 33
- 15
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↑ 72'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Erik ↓ Kai Shibato 75'
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Junya Suzuki 88'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 63'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↓ Shota Fujio 49'
- 26
- 7
- 33
-
16
Zento Uno ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 49'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 49'
-
45
Kai Shibato ↑ 75'
- 22
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 49'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 88'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 63'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Deniz Hummet | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Takashi Usami | 1 |
| Junya Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-06-30
Gamba Osaka
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-06-26
Vissel Kobe
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-06-22
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2024-06-15
Yokohama F.Marinos
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-06-01
FC Machida Zelvia
1–3
Albirex Niigata
L
2024-05-26
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.52
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
64%
Gamba Osaka or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 17% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 13% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

