Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 May | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 28 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 61 | Scored | 42 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Suita City Football Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Dawhan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Welton makes it 1-0.
- 14' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for Riku Handa.
- 33' That is a card for Gamba Osaka. Riku Handa will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Ryoya Yamashita departs to be replaced by Riku Matsuda.
- 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' That is a card for FC Machida Zelvia. Shunta Araki will be fuming at that decision.
- 47' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mitchell Duke makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 49' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Zento Uno is replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 49 minute.
- 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hokuto Shimoda on 52 minutes.
- 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Shota Fujio makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 61.
- 63' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 63 minute. Mitchell Duke leaves to be changed by Kanji Kuwayama.
- 68' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 69' What composure from Keiya Sento! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-3.
- 72' The crowd applauds Issam Jebali as he leaves the pitch. Isa Sakamoto steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 73' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Takashi Usami departs to be replaced by Juan Alano.
- 75' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Erik is replaced by Kai Shibato.
- 80' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 85' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Neta Lavi is hanging Tokuma Suzuki on the field on 85 minute.
- 88' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Junya Suzuki on, Keiya Sento off on 88 minutes.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- With this win, FC Machida Zelvia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Juan Alano 73'
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Isa Sakamoto 72'
- 20
- 24
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Riku Matsuda 36'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Neta Lavi 85'
- 3
- 23
- 97
Bench
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 73'
-
46
Riku Matsuda ↑ 36'
-
6
Neta Lavi ↑ 85'
- 25
- 33
- 15
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↑ 72'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Erik ↓ Kai Shibato 75'
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Junya Suzuki 88'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 63'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↓ Shota Fujio 49'
- 26
- 7
- 33
-
16
Zento Uno ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 49'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 49'
-
45
Kai Shibato ↑ 75'
- 22
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 49'
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↑ 88'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 63'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Welton | 1 |
| Keiya Sento | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Deniz Hummet | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-06-30
Gamba Osaka
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-06-26
Vissel Kobe
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-06-22
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2024-06-15
Yokohama F·Marinos
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-06-01
FC Machida Zelvia
1–3
Albirex Niigata
L
2024-05-26
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.52
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
64%
Gamba Osaka or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 17% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 13% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

