Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–5 | L |
| 15 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kyoto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Toyokawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kyoto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Kyoto Sanga FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Japan international Temma Matsuda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Kyoto Sanga FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Marcelo Ryan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kwi-Jea Cho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' Kyoto Sanga FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' A goal from the Brazil international Marcelo Ryan! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-0!
- 60' Against the run of play, Marcelo Ryan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' Kazunari Ichimi gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Yuta Toyokawa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Yuki Horigome on the field on 65 minute.
- 67' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Kyo Sato exits the field as Toichi Suzuki enters on 67.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 76' Yoichi Naganuma makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- 77' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Ayumu Yokoyama is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces So Kawahara on 78 minute.
- 80' Kyoto Sanga FC ring the changes. Sota Kawasaki has done his job and it is now time for Shimpei Fukuoka to step up.
- 84' Kohei Tezuka gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Akito Fukuta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Kyoto Sanga FC player sees a card in front of him.
- The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 3-0 Kyoto Sanga FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 84'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 84'
- 16
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 65'
- 42
- 2
-
5
So Kawahara ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 78'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Cayman Togashi 77'
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 84'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 77'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 78'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 84'
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 65'
- 20
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Taichi Hara ↓ Marco Tulio 63'
- 2
-
18
Temma Matsuda ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 63'
- 19
-
23
Yuta Toyokawa ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 63'
- 39
- 50
- 24
-
7
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Shimpei Fukuoka 80'
-
44
Kyo Sato ↓ Toichi Suzuki 67'
- 94
Bench
-
9
Marco Tulio ↑ 63'
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 63'
-
11
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 63'
-
28
Toichi Suzuki ↑ 67'
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↑ 80'
- 26
- 5
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuta Toyokawa | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Peter Utaka | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Shunta Araki | 1 |
| Ryonosuke Kabayama | 1 |
| Sota Kawasaki | 1 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kyoto Sanga FC Form
2024-06-22
Sagan Tosu FC
3–0
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2024-06-15
Kyoto Sanga FC
2–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-06-01
Kyoto Sanga FC
1–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2024-05-26
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
D
2024-05-19
Kyoto Sanga FC
0–5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-05-15
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
47%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kyoto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

