Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,812 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoichi Naganuma 61' 1–0

1–1 90+6' Hiroto Yamami

Il-kyu Park 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
19 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–2	L
06 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	4–3	W
16 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–1	W
08 Jul	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Gamba Osaka in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's 4-1-2-3 shape.
10' It’s high time Daniel Poyatos Algaba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
15' Kosuke Yamazaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
40' Issam Jebali needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
45' Yuki Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
46' Yuki Horigome makes way for Cayman Togashi at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
51' Yuji Ono, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
61' GOAL! Yoichi Naganuma scores on 61. Assisted by Wataru Harada
66' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Issam Jebali by Takashi Usami on 66 minute.
70' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuji Ono is replaced by Kentaro Moriya on 70 minute.
74' Ryonosuke Kabayama is replacing Taichi Kikuchi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
79' Hwang Seokho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
83' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ryotaro Meshino exits the field as Hiroto Yamami enters on 83.
87' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kohei Tezuka by Akito Fukuta on 87 minute.
89' Musashi Suzuki is replacing Dawhan for the Gamba Osaka side.
90' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 1-1 Gamba Osaka.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Yuji Ono ↓ Kentaro Moriya 70'
20
Hwang Seokho
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Cayman Togashi 46'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 74'
42
Wataru Harada
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 70'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 70'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
18
Jun Nishikawa
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 74'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 70'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 89'
48
Hideki Ishige ↑ 83'
25
Kei Ishikawa
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 66'
20
Kyung-won Kwon
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuji Ono	3
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Renzo Lopez	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka L 2023-08-06 Kawasaki Frontale 3–4 Gamba Osaka W 2023-07-16 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-07-08 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Gamba Osaka30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

59%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Gamba Osaka22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

8.2%

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.