Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,812 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yoichi Naganuma 61' 1–0
1–1 90+6' Hiroto Yamami
Il-kyu Park 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
12 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–2 L
06 Aug Kawasaki Frontale A 4–3 W
16 Jul Kashiwa Reysol H 3–1 W
08 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Gamba Osaka kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. So Kawahara made 279 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Shinya Nakano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kohei Tezuka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Magnificent from Yoichi Naganuma! That is 16 goals in 335 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takashi Usami comes on to replace Issam Jebali.
  • 70' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuji Ono departs to be replaced by Kentaro Moriya.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Taichi Kikuchi as he leaves the pitch. Ryonosuke Kabayama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryu Takao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
  • 83' The whistle greets Ryotaro Meshino as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
  • 87' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 89' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Musashi Suzuki is hanging Dawhan on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Il-kyu Park gets a card.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Gamba Osaka30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Gamba Osaka22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.