Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 12,812 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoichi Naganuma 61' 1–0

1–1 90+6' Hiroto Yamami

Il-kyu Park 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-02-25 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-29 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Gamba Osaka 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L
16 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
19 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–2	L
06 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	4–3	W
16 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–1	W
08 Jul	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Gamba Osaka for this crunch clash at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
5' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
25' Dawhan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
30' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
35' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact 4-1-2-3.
40' Kohei Tezuka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosuke Yamazaki, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cayman Togashi is hanging Yuki Horigome on the field on 46 minute.
51' Ryotaro Meshino needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
61' The deadlock is broken! Yoichi Naganuma gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
66' The whistle greets Issam Jebali as he departs to be replaced by Takashi Usami.
70' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 70 minute. Yuji Ono leaves to be changed by Kentaro Moriya.
74' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Taichi Kikuchi by Ryonosuke Kabayama on 74 minute.
79' The 28-year-old Yuki Yamamoto has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
83' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Ryotaro Meshino departs to be replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
87' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Akito Fukuta comes on to replace Kohei Tezuka.
89' Gamba Osaka make a change. Dawhan trudges off to be replaced by Musashi Suzuki on 89 minutes.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Il-kyu Park.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Yuji Ono ↓ Kentaro Moriya 70'
20
Hwang Seokho
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Cayman Togashi 46'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 74'
42
Wataru Harada
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 70'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 70'
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
18
Jun Nishikawa
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 74'
35
Kei Uchiyama
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 70'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Gamba Osaka Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

Bench

7
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 89'
48
Hideki Ishige ↑ 83'
25
Kei Ishikawa
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 66'
20
Kyung-won Kwon
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'

Coach Daniel Poyatos Algaba

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Shu Kurata	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-07-16 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Gamba Osaka Form

2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka L 2023-08-06 Kawasaki Frontale 3–4 Gamba Osaka W 2023-07-16 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2023-07-08 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Gamba Osaka30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

59%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Gamba Osaka22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

8.2%

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.