Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hayato Shimizu
- Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Issam Jebali has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 176 appearances.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
- 20' It’s high time Daniel Poyatos Algaba made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Dawhan, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' Shota Fukuoka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 40' The 22-year-old Yoshiki Narahara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 46 minute. Yuki Horigome leaves to be changed by Cayman Togashi.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' What composure from Yoichi Naganuma! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 66' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Issam Jebali is replaced by Takashi Usami on 66 minute.
- 70' Kentaro Moriya gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Ryonosuke Kabayama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' The whistle greets Ryotaro Meshino as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
- 87' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Akito Fukuta on, Kohei Tezuka off on 87 minutes.
- 89' Gamba Osaka make a change. Dawhan trudges off to be replaced by Musashi Suzuki on 89 minutes.
- 90' Poor challenge from Il-kyu Park. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Kentaro Moriya 70'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Cayman Togashi 46'
- 23
- 42
- 27
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 70'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
- 18
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 74'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 70'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Gamba Osaka Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Takashi Usami 66'
- 1
- 47
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Hiroto Yamami 83'
-
13
Ryu Takao ↓ Shinya Nakano 66'
- 24
-
18
Neta Lavi ↓ Hideki Ishige 83'
- 29
- 2
- 16
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Musashi Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
-
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
48
Hideki Ishige ↑ 83'
- 25
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 66'
- 20
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'
Coach
Daniel Poyatos Algaba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazuma Watanabe | 3 |
| Yuji Ono | 3 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Hwang Seokho | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

