Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hayato Shimizu
- Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi
8 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.1 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Gamba Osaka kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. So Kawahara made 279 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Shinya Nakano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 46' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kohei Tezuka suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Magnificent from Yoichi Naganuma! That is 16 goals in 335 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 66' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takashi Usami comes on to replace Issam Jebali.
- 70' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuji Ono departs to be replaced by Kentaro Moriya.
- 74' The crowd applauds Taichi Kikuchi as he leaves the pitch. Ryonosuke Kabayama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryu Takao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
- 83' The whistle greets Ryotaro Meshino as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Yamami.
- 87' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
- 89' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Musashi Suzuki is hanging Dawhan on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Il-kyu Park gets a card.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Kentaro Moriya 70'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Akito Fukuta 87'
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Cayman Togashi 46'
- 23
- 42
- 27
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↑ 70'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 87'
- 18
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 74'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 70'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Gamba Osaka Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Takashi Usami 66'
- 1
- 47
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Hiroto Yamami 83'
-
13
Ryu Takao ↓ Shinya Nakano 66'
- 24
-
18
Neta Lavi ↓ Hideki Ishige 83'
- 29
- 2
- 16
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Musashi Suzuki 89'
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 66'
-
9
Musashi Suzuki ↑ 89'
-
48
Hideki Ishige ↑ 83'
- 25
-
33
Shinya Nakano ↑ 66'
- 20
-
37
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 83'
Coach
Daniel Poyatos Algaba
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazuma Watanabe | 3 |
| Yuji Ono | 3 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Hwang Seokho | 2 |
| Yohei Toyoda | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

