Wednesday , 21 October 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 21 Jul 2026 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Champions League Q at Merkur-Arena.

Head-to-Head

2
SK Sturm Graz 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
27 Nov Panathinaikos AO A 1–2 L
06 Nov Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
16 May Celtic FC A 1–3 L
13 May Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
09 May Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
04 May Rangers FC H 2–1 W
26 Apr Hibernian FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
0% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Merkur-Arena as SK Sturm Graz face off against Heart of Midlothian FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 4' Goal! Jon Gorenc-Stankovic scores his 5 goal in 376 matches.
  • 9' Austria international Jurgen Heil has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 14' Pierre Kabore has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 19' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SK Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' SK Sturm Graz has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' Heart of Midlothian FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SK Sturm Graz winning 100% of all matches.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 69' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Simon Seidl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Szymon Wlodarczyk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' Daniil Khudyakov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 84' SK Sturm Graz are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heart of Midlothian FC backline.
  • 89' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SK Sturm Graz take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.2 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz48% Draw31% Heart of Midlothian FC21%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
79%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
52%
SK Sturm Graz or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%

Half-Time Result

SK Sturm Graz30% Draw55% Heart of Midlothian FC15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.