Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Rangers FC, Premier League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Mon 4 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Tynecastle 18,831 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Dujon Sterling
Stephen Kingsley 54' 1–1
Lawrence Shankland 71' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Rangers FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Rangers FC H 2–1 W
26 Apr Hibernian FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Motherwell FC H 3–1 W
05 Apr Livingston FC A 2–2 D
21 Mar Dundee FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–3 L
12 Apr Falkirk FC A 6–3 W
04 Apr Dundee United FC H 4–2 W
21 Mar Aberdeen FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Rangers FC
#1 Position #2
70 Points 69
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 19 / 12 / 2
58 Scored 66
28 Conceded 31
+30 GD +35
2.12 PPG 2.09
64% Win % 58%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Rangers FC are 2nd (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Heart of Midlothian FC is hosting Rangers FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heart of Midlothian FC that had 305 games and scored 322 goals.
  • 20' It’s high time Danny Röhl made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 23' GOAL! Dujon Sterling scores on 23.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Islam Chesnokov, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Lawrence Shankland. He receives a card.
  • 38' The referee shows Heart of Midlothian FC player a card on 38.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emmanuel Fernandez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mikey Moore made 385 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Heart of Midlothian FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
  • 54' What an equalizer from Stephen Kingsley!
  • 59' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Marc Leonard needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 71' Lawrence Shankland puts Heart of Midlothian FC on the lead.
  • 72' Rangers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 73' Rangers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 78' The travelling Rangers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 80' Emmanuel Fernandez was booked on 80.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' It looks like no one’s ball. Rangers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Rangers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw25% Rangers FC29%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Rangers FC
54%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Rangers FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC31% Draw43% Rangers FC26%
Actual: Rangers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Rangers FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.