SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Champions League Q at Merkur-Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Brann | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Nov | Panathinaikos AO | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | SK Sturm Graz | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 May | Falkirk FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 May | Motherwell FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SK Sturm Graz host Heart of Midlothian FC — let the battle begin!
- 4' The deadlock is broken! Jon Gorenc-Stankovic gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
- 9' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 14' Claudio Braga, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' SK Sturm Graz are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heart of Midlothian FC backline.
- 29' SK Sturm Graz has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Merkur-Arena. SK Sturm Graz seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 49' Austria international Luca Weinhandl has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' SK Sturm Graz are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's shape.
- 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 74' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 79' Simon Seidl has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 84' The 29-year-old Jamie McCart has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 5
- 17
- 28
- 53
- 18
- 20
- 2
- 43
- 39
- 19
Bench
- 10
- 30
- 22
- 27
- 44
- 11
- 41
- 80
- 23
- 26
- 15
- 21
Coach
Fabio Ingolitsch
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 7
- 5
- 16
- 64
- 6
- 89
- 18
- 11
- 10
- 2
Bench
- 3
- 30
- 28
- 17
- 22
- 12
- 77
- 19
- 23
- 21
- 29
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jon Gorenc-Stankovic | 1 |
| Emran Soglo | 1 |
| Simon Seidl | 1 |
Head to Head
SK Sturm Graz Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-07-21
SK Sturm Graz
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-05-16
Celtic FC
3–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-05-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Falkirk FC
W
2026-05-09
Motherwell FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2026-05-04
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Rangers FC
W
2026-04-26
Hibernian FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.2
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SK Sturm Graz win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
79%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
52%
SK Sturm Graz or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.