5 - SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Champions League Q at Merkur-Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan | SK Brann | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Nov | Panathinaikos AO | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 May | Falkirk FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 May | Motherwell FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Motherwell FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Heart of Midlothian FC get us underway at Merkur-Arena.
- 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jon Gorenc-Stankovic makes it 1-0.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 5
- 17
- 28
- 53
- 18
- 20
- 2
- 43
- 39
- 19
Bench
- 10
- 30
- 22
- 27
- 44
- 11
- 41
- 80
- 23
- 26
- 15
- 21
Coach
Fabio Ingolitsch
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 7
- 5
- 16
- 64
- 6
- 89
- 18
- 11
- 10
- 2
Bench
- 3
- 30
- 28
- 17
- 22
- 12
- 77
- 19
- 23
- 21
- 29
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
SK Sturm Graz Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-05-16
Celtic FC
3–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-05-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Falkirk FC
W
2026-05-09
Motherwell FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2026-05-04
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Rangers FC
W
2026-04-26
Hibernian FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-04-11
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–1
Motherwell FC
W
Predictions
1.27
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
SK Sturm Graz or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
71%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
60%
SK Sturm Graz or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.